Match Overview
The upcoming 3. Liga match between Borussia Dortmund II and Ingolstadt is set to be a pivotal encounter in the season. With both teams looking to secure vital points, this match could have significant implications for their respective campaigns. Borussia Dortmund II will be playing at home, which could provide them with a slight edge, but Ingolstadt's form suggests they will be formidable opponents.
Odds Analysis
The average odds for this match are as follows: Borussia Dortmund II at 2.88, Draw at 3.49, and Ingolstadt at 2.36. These odds suggest a closely contested match, with Ingolstadt slightly favored to win. The probability of a home win is approximately 34.7%, a draw is 28.7%, and an away win is 42.6%. Based on these odds, Ingolstadt is expected to have a slight advantage, but the match could easily swing in either direction.
Team Analysis
Borussia Dortmund II
- Current Form: Borussia Dortmund II has played 30 matches this season, with a mixed record.
- Strengths: They have a decent goal-scoring record, averaging 1.37 goals per match, and a solid defensive setup with 1.43 goals conceded per match.
- Weaknesses: Their possession rate is relatively low at 45.7%, which could be a disadvantage against a possession-oriented team like Ingolstadt.
- Head-to-Head: Historically, matches between these two teams have been competitive, with no clear dominance from either side.
Ingolstadt
- Current Form: Ingolstadt has played 29 matches, showing strong offensive capabilities with an average of 1.93 goals per match.
- Strengths: Their ability to score and maintain possession (47.59%) makes them a formidable opponent.
- Weaknesses: They concede an average of 1.48 goals per match, which could be exploited by Borussia Dortmund II.
Key Players Spotlight
Borussia Dortmund II
- Julian Hettwer: With 11 goals this season, Hettwer is a key player for Dortmund II.
- Marcel Lotka: His defensive contributions have been crucial, with a high performance rating.
Ingolstadt
- Sebastian Grönning: Leading the team with 16 goals, Grönning is a significant threat.
- Pelle Boevink: His defensive prowess is vital for Ingolstadt's backline.
Statistical Deep Dive
- Offensive Metrics: Ingolstadt averages more goals per match (1.93) compared to Dortmund II (1.37).
- Defensive Metrics: Both teams have similar defensive records, with Dortmund II conceding 1.43 goals per match and Ingolstadt 1.48.
- Possession and Passing: Ingolstadt's higher possession and passing accuracy could give them an edge in controlling the game.
Prediction and Conclusion
Based on the analysis, Ingolstadt appears to have a slight edge due to their superior offensive capabilities and possession statistics. However, Borussia Dortmund II's home advantage and competitive spirit could make this a closely fought contest. Key factors such as player form and tactical execution will likely determine the outcome.
Final Score Prediction: Borussia Dortmund II 1-2 Ingolstadt Half Time Score Prediction: Borussia Dortmund II 0-1 Ingolstadt Both Teams to Score Probability: 60% Over 2.5 Goals Probability: 55%