MATCH OVERVIEW
The upcoming Serie A match between Udinese and Parma is set to be a captivating encounter at the Dacia Arena. Scheduled for March 1, 2025, at 19:45 GMT, this fixture is crucial for both teams as they seek to improve their standings in the league. Udinese, playing at home, will be eager to capitalize on their familiar surroundings, while Parma will aim to upset the hosts and gain valuable points.
ODDS ANALYSIS
The average odds for this match suggest a competitive game, with Udinese favored at 1.85, indicating a 54.1% probability of a home win. The odds for a draw stand at 3.65, translating to a 27.4% chance, while Parma's odds of 4.47 give them an 18.5% probability of winning. Based on these odds, Udinese is expected to have the upper hand, but Parma's potential to cause an upset cannot be overlooked.
TEAM ANALYSIS
Udinese
Udinese's current form shows a team that is solid in duels, averaging 188.12 per match, and they have a decent goal-scoring record with 1.27 goals per game. Their defense, however, concedes 1.42 goals on average, which could be a concern against Parma's attacking threats. Udinese's possession rate of 48.46% indicates a balanced approach, and their ability to execute successful passes (314.38 per match) will be crucial.
Parma
Parma, on the other hand, averages 1.23 goals per game and concedes 1.73, highlighting a potential vulnerability in defense. Their possession rate is slightly lower at 44.46%, but they make up for it with a higher number of shots per game (11.5). Parma's strength lies in their dribbling ability, averaging 22.88 dribbles per match, which could pose a challenge for Udinese's defense.
Head-to-Head
Historically, Udinese and Parma have had closely contested matches, with neither team dominating the other. This adds an extra layer of intrigue to the upcoming fixture, as both sides will be keen to assert their dominance.
KEY PLAYERS SPOTLIGHT
Udinese
- Lorenzo Lucca: With 10 goals this season, Lucca is Udinese's top scorer and a key player to watch.
- Florian Thauvin: Contributing 6 goals, Thauvin's creativity and goal-scoring ability will be vital.
Parma
- Ange-Yoan Bonny: Leading Parma's attack with 5 goals, Bonny will be crucial in breaking down Udinese's defense.
- Dennis Man: With 4 goals, Man's form and attacking prowess will be essential for Parma.
STATISTICAL DEEP DIVE
- Offensive Metrics: Udinese averages 9.65 shots per game, while Parma takes 11.5, indicating a more aggressive approach from the visitors.
- Defensive Metrics: Udinese's defense is slightly more robust, with 38.85 interceptions per match compared to Parma's 44.85.
- Possession and Passing: Both teams have similar passing success rates, but Udinese's higher possession could give them an edge in controlling the game.
PREDICTION AND CONCLUSION
Based on the data, Udinese is likely to have a slight advantage, especially playing at home. Key factors such as Lucca's goal-scoring form and Udinese's solid passing game could be decisive. However, Parma's ability to create chances and their dribbling skills could lead to an upset.
Final Score Prediction: Udinese 2-1 Parma Half Time Score Prediction: Udinese 1-0 Parma Probability for Both Teams to Score: 65% Probability for Over 2.5 Goals: 60%