MATCH OVERVIEW
Motor Lublin and Pogoń Szczecin are set to face off in a highly anticipated Ekstraklasa match. This encounter is crucial for both teams as they look to climb the league table. The match will be held at the Arena Lublin, providing a home advantage for Motor Lublin. Kick-off is scheduled for 11:15 AM on February 1, 2026.
ODDS ANALYSIS
The average odds for this match are closely contested, with Motor Lublin at 2.55, a draw at 3.35, and Pogoń Szczecin at 2.39. This suggests a tight match, with Pogoń Szczecin slightly favored. The probability of a home win is approximately 39.2%, a draw is 29.9%, and an away win is 41.9%. Based on these odds, Pogoń Szczecin is expected to have a slight edge.
TEAM ANALYSIS
Motor Lublin
- Current Form: Motor Lublin has shown a balanced performance with an average of 1.28 goals per match and a possession rate of 50.83%.
- Strengths: Strong in dribbling with 18.61 attempts per match and a high success rate of 14.44.
- Weaknesses: Defensive vulnerabilities with 1.56 goals conceded per match.
Pogoń Szczecin
- Current Form: Pogoń Szczecin has been more prolific in attack, averaging 1.56 goals per match.
- Strengths: High offensive rating of 616.03 and effective in creating chances with 14.94 shots per match.
- Weaknesses: Conceding 1.78 goals per match indicates defensive frailties.
Head-to-Head
Historically, Pogoń Szczecin has had the upper hand in recent encounters, which could play a psychological role in this fixture.
KEY PLAYERS SPOTLIGHT
Motor Lublin
- Karol Czubak: Top scorer with 10 goals, crucial for Motor Lublin's attacking threat.
- Ivan Brkic: Key defensive player with significant contributions in goalkeeping.
Pogoń Szczecin
- Kamil Grosicki: Leading the charge with 6 goals, his experience and skill are vital.
- Valentin Cojocaru: A reliable presence in goal, contributing to defensive stability.
STATISTICAL DEEP DIVE
- Offensive Metrics: Pogoń Szczecin leads with a higher expected goals (xG) of 1.93 compared to Motor Lublin's 1.47.
- Defensive Metrics: Both teams have similar expected goals against (xGA) at 1.63, indicating potential for goals.
- Possession and Passing: Pogoń Szczecin slightly edges out in possession and passing accuracy, which could influence control of the game.
PREDICTION AND CONCLUSION
Based on the data, Pogoń Szczecin appears to have a slight advantage due to their superior offensive capabilities and recent form. However, Motor Lublin's home advantage and key players like Karol Czubak could make a significant impact. The match is likely to be closely contested, with both teams having opportunities to score.
Final Score Prediction: 1-2 in favor of Pogoń Szczecin. Half Time Score Prediction: 0-1. Both Teams to Score Probability: 61%. Over 2.5 Goals Probability: 55%.
In conclusion, while Pogoń Szczecin is favored, Motor Lublin's resilience and home support could lead to an exciting and unpredictable match.
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