MATCH OVERVIEW
Mirassol and Bahia are set to face off in a pivotal Brazil Série A match that could significantly impact their standings in the league. Mirassol, playing at home, will look to leverage their familiarity with the venue to secure a win against Bahia, who are eager to climb the league table. The match will be held at Mirassol's stadium on August 31, 2025, at 21:30 UTC.
ODDS ANALYSIS
The average odds for this match suggest a closely contested battle, with Mirassol having a slight edge at 2.42, while Bahia's odds stand at 2.81. The draw is priced at 3.00, indicating a competitive match where all outcomes are possible. The probabilities derived from these odds suggest Mirassol has a 41.32% chance of winning, Bahia a 35.59% chance, and a draw at 33.33%.
TEAM ANALYSIS
Mirassol has shown a solid performance this season, with an average of 1.61 goals per match and a possession rate of 46.67%. Their defense has been relatively strong, conceding only 1.06 goals per game. Bahia, on the other hand, boasts a slightly higher possession rate at 52.56% and averages 1.39 goals per match. Both teams have similar defensive statistics, with Bahia conceding 0.94 goals per game.
Head-to-head, Mirassol's offensive capabilities, highlighted by their 12 shots per game, will be tested against Bahia's defense, which averages 4.44 clearances per match. Mirassol's tactical approach will likely focus on exploiting their dribbling skills, averaging 19.11 dribbles per game, while Bahia will aim to control the game through their superior passing accuracy.
KEY PLAYERS SPOTLIGHT
Mirassol's Reinaldo, with 7 goals this season, will be a key player to watch, alongside Gabriel and Francisco da Costa, who have contributed 4 goals each. Bahia's Luciano Juba and Michel Araújo, both with 4 goals, will be crucial in their attacking strategy. The matchup between Reinaldo and Bahia's defense, led by Santiago Ramos Mingo, will be pivotal.
STATISTICAL DEEP DIVE
Mirassol's offensive metrics, including 12 shots per game and 4.17 shots on target, indicate a proactive approach. Their defensive stats, such as 43 interceptions per game, highlight their ability to disrupt opposition play. Bahia's passing game, with 471.56 passes per match, and their successful dribbles at 17.56, suggest a strategy focused on ball control and creating opportunities through midfield dominance.
PREDICTION AND CONCLUSION
Based on the data, Mirassol's home advantage and their slightly better offensive stats give them a slight edge. However, Bahia's superior possession and passing accuracy could neutralize this advantage. The match-winning factors will likely hinge on Mirassol's ability to convert their chances and Bahia's defensive resilience.
Final Score Prediction: Mirassol 2-1 Bahia Half Time Score Prediction: Mirassol 1-1 Bahia Probability for Both Teams to Score: 65% Probability for Over 2.5 Goals: 55%
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