MATCH OVERVIEW
Beijing Guoan and Changchun Yatai are gearing up for a crucial Super League clash that could have significant implications for both teams. Beijing Guoan, currently enjoying a strong season, will look to leverage their home advantage at the Workers' Stadium. Meanwhile, Changchun Yatai will aim to upset the odds and secure a vital away victory.
ODDS ANALYSIS
The odds heavily favor Beijing Guoan, with a home win priced at 1.15, indicating a high probability of victory. The draw is set at 7.31, while an away win for Changchun Yatai is at 13.02. These odds suggest a 86.96% chance for Beijing Guoan to win, a 13.68% chance for a draw, and a mere 7.68% chance for Changchun Yatai to triumph.
TEAM ANALYSIS
Beijing Guoan
- Current Form: Beijing Guoan has been impressive, averaging 2.33 goals per match and maintaining a possession rate of 62.83%.
- Strengths: Strong offensive capabilities with high shots on target (5.42) and successful dribbles (15.25).
- Weaknesses: Vulnerable to dangerous own half losses (6.25).
Changchun Yatai
- Current Form: Struggling with an average of 0.85 goals per match and lower possession at 46.77%.
- Strengths: Effective in duels, averaging 213.31 per match.
- Weaknesses: High expected goals against (2.2) and conceded goals (1.92).
Head-to-Head
Beijing Guoan has historically dominated this fixture, and their current form suggests they are likely to continue this trend.
KEY PLAYERS SPOTLIGHT
Beijing Guoan
- Fabio Abreu: Leading goal scorer with 8 goals, crucial for Beijing's attacking prowess.
- Jiaqi Han: Top performer with 94.66 points, instrumental in midfield control.
Changchun Yatai
- Long Tan: Key player with 6 goals, vital for Changchun's offensive efforts.
- L. Rosić: Defensive stalwart with 67.52 points, essential for resisting Beijing's attacks.
STATISTICAL DEEP DIVE
- Offensive Metrics: Beijing Guoan averages 13.5 shots per match, significantly higher than Changchun's 8.54.
- Defensive Metrics: Changchun Yatai averages more interceptions (50.15) compared to Beijing's 37.58.
- Possession and Passing: Beijing's superior possession (62.83%) and successful passes (493.25) highlight their control over the game.
PREDICTION AND CONCLUSION
Beijing Guoan is expected to dominate this match, given their superior form and home advantage. Key factors include their offensive strength and possession control. Changchun Yatai will need to capitalize on counter-attacks and set-pieces to challenge Beijing.
Final Score Prediction: Beijing Guoan 3-1 Changchun Yatai Half Time Score Prediction: Beijing Guoan 2-0 Changchun Yatai Probability for Both Teams to Score: 66.67% Probability for Over 2.5 Goals: 61.54%
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