Match Overview
The upcoming Super League - China match between Qingdao West Coast and Shanghai Port is a crucial fixture in the early stages of the season. Both teams have shown promising performances, and this match could set the tone for their respective campaigns. Qingdao West Coast will be looking to leverage their home advantage, while Shanghai Port aims to continue their impressive form.
Odds Analysis
The average odds for this match are heavily in favor of Shanghai Port, with odds of 1.41 for an away win, indicating a 70.9% probability. Qingdao West Coast, with odds of 6.01, has a 16.6% chance of winning, while the draw is priced at 4.79, suggesting a 20.9% probability. Based on these odds, Shanghai Port is expected to dominate, but Qingdao West Coast could surprise with a strong home performance.
Team Analysis
Qingdao West Coast
- Current Form: Qingdao West Coast has averaged 2 goals per match this season, with a possession rate of 47.5%.
- Strengths: Their offensive capabilities are highlighted by an average of 13.5 shots per game and a successful dribble rate of 27.5.
- Weaknesses: Defensive vulnerabilities are evident with an average of 1 goal conceded per match and 10 dangerous own half losses.
Shanghai Port
- Current Form: Shanghai Port boasts a higher average of 2.5 goals per match and a possession rate of 56.5%.
- Strengths: Their offensive prowess is underscored by 20.5 shots per game and a high expected goals rate of 3.24.
- Weaknesses: Despite their strong form, they have a slightly higher yellow card average of 3.5 per match.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Historically, Shanghai Port has had the upper hand in this fixture, often outscoring Qingdao West Coast. Their tactical approach, focusing on high possession and aggressive attacking, has proven effective against Qingdao's defense.
Key Players Spotlight
Qingdao West Coast
- Matheus Índio: With 113.56 points and 2 goals this season, he is a key player to watch.
- Aziz Yakubu: His ability to find the net could be crucial for Qingdao's chances.
Shanghai Port
- Gustavo: Leading with 111.44 points and 2 goals, Gustavo is expected to be a significant threat.
- Léo: His goal-scoring ability adds depth to Shanghai Port's attacking options.
Statistical Deep Dive
Offensive Metrics
- Qingdao West Coast: Averaging 5.5 shots on target per match.
- Shanghai Port: Averaging 7.5 shots on target, showcasing their attacking efficiency.
Defensive Metrics
- Qingdao West Coast: Conceding 1 goal per match, with 7 clearances.
- Shanghai Port: Conceding only 0.5 goals per match, indicating a solid defense.
Prediction and Conclusion
Based on the data, Shanghai Port is likely to secure a victory, given their superior offensive and defensive statistics. Key match-winning factors include their higher possession rate and goal-scoring capabilities. Qingdao West Coast will need to capitalize on their home advantage and improve their defensive strategies to challenge Shanghai Port.
Final Score Prediction: Shanghai Port 3-1 Qingdao West Coast Half Time Score Prediction: Shanghai Port 1-0 Qingdao West Coast Probability for Both Teams to Score: 60% Probability for Over 2.5 Goals: 70%
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