Match Overview
Rotherham United and Crawley Town face off in a pivotal League 1 match that could significantly impact their standings. With Rotherham United aiming to solidify their position in the league and Crawley Town looking to climb the table, this match holds substantial importance.
Odds Analysis
The average odds for this match suggest a strong likelihood of a home victory, with Rotherham United favored at 1.48. The probability of a draw stands at 4.5, while an away win for Crawley Town is considered less likely at 6.39. These odds translate to a 67.6% chance of a Rotherham win, a 22.2% chance of a draw, and a 15.6% chance of a Crawley victory.
Team Analysis
Rotherham United
- Current Form: Rotherham has played 37 matches this season, with a moderate success rate in terms of goals and assists.
- Strengths: Their possession rate of 47.86% and expected goals of 1.45 indicate a solid offensive capability.
- Weaknesses: Conceding an average of 1.22 goals per match could be a concern against a team like Crawley.
Crawley Town
- Current Form: Crawley has played 38 matches, showing a slightly higher possession rate at 56.37%.
- Strengths: Their ability to maintain possession and create chances is evident from their passing statistics.
- Weaknesses: With an average of 1.84 goals conceded per match, their defense might struggle against Rotherham's attack.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Historically, Rotherham United has had the upper hand in encounters with Crawley Town, often leveraging their home advantage to secure wins.
Tactical Approaches
Rotherham is likely to focus on exploiting Crawley's defensive vulnerabilities, while Crawley will aim to control the game through possession and quick transitions.
Key Players Spotlight
Rotherham United
- Sam Nombe: Leading the goal-scoring chart with 9 goals.
- Mallik Wilks: A versatile player contributing 6 goals.
Crawley Town
- Will Swan: Top scorer with 7 goals.
- Junior Quitirna: A key player with 6 goals.
Statistical Deep Dive
Offensive Metrics
- Rotherham United: Average goals per match stand at 1.14, with 11.7 shots and 4.14 on target.
- Crawley Town: Slightly lower at 1.05 goals per match, with 10.74 shots and 3.39 on target.
Defensive Metrics
- Rotherham United: Conceding 1.22 goals per match, with 5.51 clearances.
- Crawley Town: Higher concession rate at 1.84 goals, with 7.71 clearances.
Prediction and Conclusion
Based on the data, Rotherham United is favored to win, given their stronger offensive metrics and historical advantage. Key factors include their ability to capitalize on Crawley's defensive lapses and maintain pressure through possession.
Final Score Prediction
Rotherham United 2-1 Crawley Town
Half Time Score Prediction
Rotherham United 1-0 Crawley Town
Probability Insights
- Both Teams to Score: 48.65%
- Over 2.5 Goals: 40.54%
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