MATCH OVERVIEW
Haka and Jaro are set to face off in a crucial Veikkausliiga match that could significantly impact their season trajectories. Haka, playing at home, will look to leverage their strong form and home advantage to secure a win. Meanwhile, Jaro will aim to defy the odds and claim a vital victory on the road.
ODDS ANALYSIS
The odds heavily favor Haka with a 1.21 chance of winning, translating to an approximate probability of 82.64%. The draw is priced at 6.11, giving it a 16.37% chance, while Jaro's odds of 11.11 suggest a mere 9% probability of an away win. These odds indicate a strong expectation for a Haka victory, but football's unpredictability means Jaro could still spring a surprise.
TEAM ANALYSIS
Haka
Haka's season has been marked by solid performances, with an average of 1.17 goals per match and a commendable expected goals figure of 1.5. Their offensive capabilities are further highlighted by their average of 11.5 shots per game and 5.08 corners. Defensively, Haka concedes 1.83 goals per match, which they will need to improve against Jaro.
Jaro
Jaro, on the other hand, averages 1 goal per match with an expected goals of 1.22. Their defense concedes 1.5 goals per game, slightly better than Haka's. Jaro's ability to maintain possession at 46.75% and their average of 9.5 shots per game will be crucial in challenging Haka's defense.
Head-to-Head
Historically, Haka has had the upper hand in this fixture, often capitalizing on their home advantage. Jaro will need to break this trend to secure a positive result.
KEY PLAYERS SPOTLIGHT
Haka
- Jean-Pierre Da Sylva: Leading the team with 129.52 points, his influence in midfield will be crucial.
- Simon Lindholm: With 3 goals this season, Lindholm is a key attacking threat.
Jaro
- Kerfala Cissoko: Jaro's top scorer with 7 goals, Cissoko's form will be vital for Jaro's chances.
- Erik Gunnarsson: His 109.5 points highlight his importance in Jaro's setup.
STATISTICAL DEEP DIVE
Offensive Metrics
- Haka: 11.5 shots per game, 4.5 on target, and 1.17 goals.
- Jaro: 9.5 shots per game, 3.17 on target, and 1 goal.
Defensive Metrics
- Haka: Concedes 1.83 goals, with 3.25 saves per match.
- Jaro: Concedes 1.5 goals, with 2.83 saves per match.
Possession and Passing
- Haka: 46.33% possession, 370.42 passes per game.
- Jaro: 46.75% possession, 353 passes per game.
PREDICTION AND CONCLUSION
Given the statistical analysis and odds, Haka is expected to win this match, leveraging their home advantage and superior offensive metrics. Key factors will include Haka's ability to convert chances and Jaro's resilience in defense.
Final Score Prediction
Haka 2-1 Jaro
Half Time Score Prediction
Haka 1-0 Jaro
Match-Winning Factors
- Haka's home form and offensive prowess.
- Jaro's potential to counter-attack effectively.
In conclusion, while Haka is favored to win, Jaro's determination and key players could make this a closely contested match.
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