Match Overview
The clash between Red Star and Guingamp in Ligue 2 is more than just a regular fixture; it's a battle for momentum and positioning in the league table. Red Star, playing at home, will look to leverage their familiarity with the Stade Bauer to gain an edge over Guingamp, who are currently in better form.
Odds Analysis
The average odds for this match are 3.06 for a Red Star win, 3.28 for a draw, and 2.28 for a Guingamp victory. These odds suggest a 32.7% probability for a home win, 30.5% for a draw, and 43.9% for an away win. Guingamp is favored to win, reflecting their superior form and statistics this season.
Team Analysis
Red Star
- Current Form: Red Star has struggled this season, with an average of 0.96 goals per match and conceding 1.63 goals.
- Strengths: Their possession rate of 52.04% indicates a preference for controlling the game.
- Weaknesses: Defensive vulnerabilities are evident with an average of 1.63 goals conceded per match.
Guingamp
- Current Form: Guingamp has been more prolific, scoring 1.63 goals per match and conceding 1.21.
- Strengths: Strong offensive capabilities with a higher expected goals (xG) of 1.45.
- Weaknesses: Slightly lower possession than Red Star but more effective in attack.
Head-to-Head
Historically, Guingamp has had the upper hand in recent encounters, which could play a psychological role in this match.
Tactical Approaches
Red Star may focus on a possession-based approach to control the tempo, while Guingamp might exploit their attacking prowess and Red Star's defensive frailties.
Key Players Spotlight
Red Star
- Aliou Badji: Top scorer with 6 goals, crucial for Red Star's attacking efforts.
- Robin Risser: Key defensive player with significant contributions.
Guingamp
- J. Siwe: Leading scorer with 9 goals, a constant threat to defenses.
- Théo Le Bris: Influential in midfield, contributing to both defense and attack.
Statistical Deep Dive
- Offensive Metrics: Guingamp averages more shots (12.33) and shots on target (4.83) compared to Red Star's 9.79 and 3.29.
- Defensive Metrics: Guingamp's defense is more robust, conceding fewer goals (1.21) than Red Star (1.63).
- Possession and Passing: Guingamp's passing accuracy and volume are superior, with 412.58 successful passes per match.
Prediction and Conclusion
Based on the data, Guingamp is likely to dominate the match, leveraging their superior offensive and defensive metrics. Key factors include Guingamp's ability to convert chances and Red Star's defensive lapses. Expect Guingamp to capitalize on these aspects for a potential victory.
Final Score Prediction: Guingamp 2-1 Red Star Half Time Score Prediction: Guingamp 1-0 Red Star Both Teams to Score Probability: 60% Over 2.5 Goals Probability: 55%
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