Match Overview
The clash between Rodez and Guingamp is set to be a pivotal moment in the Ligue 2 season. Both teams are in the middle of the table, and a win could propel them closer to the promotion spots. Rodez, playing at home, will look to capitalize on their familiar surroundings, while Guingamp aims to secure valuable away points.
Odds Analysis
The average odds for this match are 2.24 for a Rodez win, 3.04 for a draw, and 3.18 for a Guingamp victory. These odds suggest a closely contested match, with Rodez slightly favored due to their home advantage. The probability of a Rodez win stands at approximately 44.6%, while a draw is at 32.9%, and a Guingamp win at 31.5%. Based on these odds, a narrow victory for Rodez seems the most likely outcome.
Team Analysis
Rodez
- Current Form: Rodez has shown a mixed form this season, with an average of 1.6 goals per match and a possession rate of 44%.
- Strengths: Strong in dribbles (16.4 successful per match) and interceptions (40.36 per match).
- Weaknesses: Conceding 1.68 goals per match indicates defensive vulnerabilities.
- Head-to-Head: Historically, Rodez has struggled against Guingamp, but their home form could be a decisive factor.
Guingamp
- Current Form: Guingamp has been consistent, with an average of 1.6 goals per match and a higher possession rate of 52.12%.
- Strengths: Effective passing game with 408.96 successful passes per match.
- Weaknesses: Slightly weaker in defense, conceding 1.28 goals per match.
- Head-to-Head: Guingamp has a slight edge in past encounters, which could boost their confidence.
Key Players Spotlight
- Rodez: Timothé Nkada is a key player with 12 goals this season, providing a significant threat upfront.
- Guingamp: Théo Le Bris, with 198.87 points, is a standout performer, contributing both offensively and defensively.
- Matchup: The duel between Nkada and Guingamp's defense, led by Enzo Basilio, will be crucial.
Statistical Deep Dive
- Offensive Metrics: Both teams average 1.6 goals per match, but Rodez has a higher expected goals (xG) of 1.64 compared to Guingamp's 1.44.
- Defensive Metrics: Rodez's defense is more porous, conceding 1.68 goals per match, while Guingamp concedes 1.28.
- Possession and Passing: Guingamp's superior possession and passing accuracy could give them an edge in controlling the game.
Prediction and Conclusion
Based on the analysis, Rodez's home advantage and attacking prowess, led by Nkada, could be decisive. However, Guingamp's solid passing and possession game might counteract Rodez's strengths. The match-winning factor could be Rodez's ability to exploit Guingamp's defensive lapses.
Final Score Prediction: Rodez 2-1 Guingamp Half-Time Score Prediction: Rodez 1-0 Guingamp Both Teams to Score Probability: 64% Over 2.5 Goals Probability: 68%
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