Match Overview
The Serie B clash between Carrarese and Frosinone is set to be a pivotal match in the current season. Both teams are in the middle of the table, and a win could propel them closer to the playoff spots. The match will be held at Carrarese's home ground, where they have shown decent form this season.
Odds Analysis
The average odds for this match are as follows: Carrarese to win at 2.33, a draw at 2.92, and Frosinone to win at 3.18. These odds suggest a closely contested match, with Carrarese slightly favored due to their home advantage. The probability of a Carrarese win is approximately 42.9%, a draw is 34.2%, and a Frosinone win is 31.4%.
Team Analysis
Carrarese
- Current Form: Carrarese has been inconsistent this season, with an average of 1 goal per match and conceding 1.32 goals.
- Strengths: Strong in duels with an average of 206.82 per match and a high success rate in dribbles (17.04 successful dribbles).
- Weaknesses: Struggles in defense with an average of 1.32 goals conceded and 1.47 expected goals against.
Frosinone
- Current Form: Frosinone has also had a mixed season, scoring 0.86 goals per match and conceding 1.43.
- Strengths: Effective in dribbles with 18.57 successful dribbles and a solid defensive setup with 36.25 interceptions per match.
- Weaknesses: Lower goal-scoring rate and higher expected goals against (1.53).
Head-to-Head
Historically, matches between these two teams have been closely contested, with neither side dominating the other. This trend is expected to continue in this encounter.
Tactical Approaches
Carrarese is likely to focus on maintaining possession and utilizing their dribbling skills to break down Frosinone's defense. Frosinone, on the other hand, may rely on their defensive solidity and counter-attacking opportunities.
Key Players Spotlight
Carrarese
- Mattia Finotto: Top scorer with 5 goals, crucial for Carrarese's attacking play.
- N. Schiavi: A key playmaker with 4 goals, instrumental in midfield.
Frosinone
- Giuseppe Ambrosino: Leading the attack with 3 goals, vital for Frosinone's offensive efforts.
- Anthony Partipilo: Another key player with 3 goals, providing depth in attack.
Statistical Deep Dive
- Offensive Metrics: Carrarese averages 10.89 shots per match with 3.75 on target, while Frosinone averages 11 shots with 3.96 on target.
- Defensive Metrics: Carrarese has a higher interception rate (39.04) compared to Frosinone (36.25), indicating a more aggressive defensive approach.
- Possession and Passing: Carrarese averages 50% possession with 390.79 passes, while Frosinone averages 47.29% possession with 362.39 passes.
Prediction and Conclusion
Based on the analysis, Carrarese holds a slight edge due to their home advantage and better offensive metrics. However, Frosinone's defensive capabilities could make this a tightly contested match. Key factors will include Carrarese's ability to convert chances and Frosinone's counter-attacking efficiency.
Final Score Prediction: Carrarese 2-1 Frosinone Half Time Score Prediction: Carrarese 1-0 Frosinone Both Teams to Score Probability: 50% Over 2.5 Goals Probability: 42.86%
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