MATCH OVERVIEW
Spezia and Cosenza are gearing up for a pivotal Serie B encounter that could shape the trajectory of their season. Spezia, currently enjoying a solid run, will host Cosenza at the Stadio Alberto Picco. With the match set for April 21, 2025, at 13:00 GMT, fans can expect an intense battle as both teams vie for crucial points.
ODDS ANALYSIS
The odds heavily favor Spezia, with a home win priced at 1.37, indicating a 73% probability of victory. The draw is set at 4.6, translating to a 22% chance, while Cosenza's win is at 7.69, giving them a mere 13% probability. These odds suggest Spezia's dominance, but Cosenza's potential for an upset should not be underestimated.
TEAM ANALYSIS
Spezia
Spezia's form this season has been impressive, with an average of 1.48 goals per match and a strong defensive record, conceding only 0.76 goals per game. Their offensive prowess is highlighted by an expected goals (xG) of 2.1, supported by 14.48 shots per match. Spezia's midfield control is evident with 341.88 passes and a possession rate of 50.27%.
Cosenza
Cosenza, on the other hand, has struggled offensively, averaging 0.85 goals per game. Their defense has been less robust, conceding 1.42 goals per match. Despite this, Cosenza's passing game is slightly superior, with 353.18 passes per match, though their possession is lower at 48.64%.
Head-to-Head
Historically, Spezia has had the upper hand in this fixture, often leveraging their home advantage. Cosenza will need to break this trend to secure a positive result.
KEY PLAYERS SPOTLIGHT
Spezia
- Francesco Pio Esposito: Spezia's top scorer with 14 goals, his attacking threat will be crucial.
- Salvatore Esposito: A key midfielder with 7 goals, his playmaking abilities are vital.
Cosenza
- Gabriele Artistico: Leading the charge with 4 goals, his performance will be pivotal.
- Alessandro Micai: A reliable presence in goal, his saves could be decisive.
STATISTICAL DEEP DIVE
Offensive Metrics
- Spezia's shots on target: 4.82 per match
- Cosenza's shots on target: 3.97 per match
Defensive Metrics
- Spezia's interceptions: 39.52 per match
- Cosenza's interceptions: 40.45 per match
Possession and Passing
- Spezia's successful passes: 272.33 per match
- Cosenza's successful passes: 282.39 per match
PREDICTION AND CONCLUSION
Spezia's superior form and home advantage make them favorites for this clash. Their offensive and defensive metrics suggest a likely victory, but Cosenza's resilience could lead to a competitive match. Key factors include Spezia's attacking duo and Cosenza's defensive organization.
Final Score Prediction
Spezia 2-0 Cosenza
Half Time Score Prediction
Spezia 1-0 Cosenza
Probability Insights
- Both Teams to Score: 42%
- Over 2.5 Goals: 36%
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