Match Overview
The upcoming J League match between Urawa Reds and Shimizu S-Pulse is crucial for both teams as they aim to improve their positions in the league table. Urawa Reds, currently struggling with form, will be keen to secure a victory at home. Meanwhile, Shimizu S-Pulse will be looking to capitalize on their slightly better form to snatch points away from home.
Odds Analysis
The average odds for this match suggest a slight edge for Urawa Reds with odds of 2.05 for a home win, translating to a 48.78% probability. The odds for a draw stand at 3.24, indicating a 30.86% chance, while Shimizu S-Pulse's odds of 3.55 suggest a 28.17% probability of an away win. Based on these odds, Urawa Reds are favored to win, but the match could be closely contested.
Team Analysis
Urawa Reds
- Current Form: Urawa Reds have played 7 matches this season, with a low average of 0.71 goals per game.
- Strengths: Their possession rate of 51% and successful dribbles (16.57 per game) indicate a team capable of controlling the game.
- Weaknesses: With only 0.43 assists per game and a low expected goals rate of 0.99, their offensive output needs improvement.
Shimizu S-Pulse
- Current Form: Shimizu S-Pulse have played 6 matches, averaging 1 goal per game.
- Strengths: Their expected goals of 1.23 and a solid defensive record with only 0.83 goals conceded per game.
- Weaknesses: Despite a higher possession rate, their successful crosses and key passes are lower than desired.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Historically, Urawa Reds have had the upper hand in this fixture, but Shimizu S-Pulse's recent form suggests they could challenge the hosts.
Tactical Approaches
Urawa Reds are likely to focus on maintaining possession and exploiting their dribbling skills, while Shimizu S-Pulse may rely on their defensive solidity and counter-attacking opportunities.
Key Players Spotlight
Urawa Reds
- Takahiro Sekine: A standout performer with 179.68 points this season.
- Thiago: Leading goal scorer with 3 goals.
Shimizu S-Pulse
- Sen Takagi: Top performer with 235.62 points.
- Koya Kitagawa: Key goal scorer with 2 goals.
Statistical Deep Dive
- Offensive Metrics: Urawa Reds average 11.57 shots per game, while Shimizu S-Pulse average 11 shots.
- Defensive Metrics: Urawa Reds have a higher interception rate (41 per game) compared to Shimizu S-Pulse (40.33).
- Passing Accuracy: Shimizu S-Pulse have a higher successful pass rate, averaging 398.17 successful passes per game.
Prediction and Conclusion
Based on the data, Urawa Reds have a slight edge due to their home advantage and historical dominance. However, Shimizu S-Pulse's defensive capabilities could make this a tight contest. Key factors will include Urawa Reds' ability to convert possession into goals and Shimizu S-Pulse's counter-attacking efficiency.
Final Score Prediction: Urawa Reds 1-1 Shimizu S-Pulse Half Time Score Prediction: Urawa Reds 0-0 Shimizu S-Pulse Both Teams to Score Probability: 55% Over 2.5 Goals Probability: 30%
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