Match Overview
Juárez and Guadalajara are gearing up for a pivotal clash in the Liga MX, with both teams eager to capitalize on their current form. Juárez, playing at home, will look to leverage their familiarity with the Estadio Olímpico Benito Juárez to gain an advantage. Meanwhile, Guadalajara, with their strong away record, aims to continue their pursuit of top-tier league status.
Odds Analysis
The average odds for this match suggest a competitive battle, with Guadalajara slightly favored to win. The odds are as follows:
- Juárez: 3.35
- Draw: 3.42
- Guadalajara: 1.96
These odds translate to probabilities of:
- Juárez win: 29.85%
- Draw: 29.24%
- Guadalajara win: 50.91%
Guadalajara's higher probability reflects their superior form and league position, making them the expected victors.
Team Analysis
Juárez
Juárez has shown resilience this season, with a mixed record of 28 matches. Their offensive capabilities are highlighted by an average of 1.14 goals per game and a possession rate of 48.25%. However, their defense has been a concern, conceding 1.82 goals per match.
- Strengths: Dribbling (17.68 successful dribbles), Interceptions (37.86)
- Weaknesses: Defensive stability (1.82 goals conceded)
Guadalajara
Guadalajara boasts a stronger overall performance, with 1.36 goals per game and a possession rate of 51.79%. Their defense is more robust, conceding only 1.11 goals per match.
- Strengths: Passing accuracy (353.29 successful passes), Defensive solidity (1.11 goals conceded)
- Weaknesses: Vulnerability to counter-attacks
Head-to-Head
Historically, Guadalajara has had the upper hand in encounters with Juárez, often leveraging their tactical prowess and depth in squad quality.
Tactical Approaches
Juárez is likely to focus on exploiting their dribbling skills and counter-attacking opportunities, while Guadalajara will aim to control the game through possession and structured play.
Key Players Spotlight
Juárez
- Óscar Estupiñán: 9 goals, pivotal in Juárez's attack
- Madson: Key playmaker with 147.36 points
Guadalajara
- Roberto Alvarado: 8 goals, a consistent threat in the final third
- Raúl Rangel: Defensive stalwart with 220.55 points
Statistical Deep Dive
Offensive Metrics
- Juárez: 10.54 shots per game, 3.79 on target
- Guadalajara: 11.29 shots per game, 4 on target
Defensive Metrics
- Juárez: 6.43 clearances, 3.36 saves
- Guadalajara: 4.29 clearances, 3 saves
Possession and Passing
- Juárez: 361.75 passes, 298.57 successful
- Guadalajara: 422.93 passes, 353.29 successful
Prediction and Conclusion
Based on the data, Guadalajara is favored to win, given their superior form and defensive capabilities. Key factors include their passing accuracy and ability to maintain possession.
Final Score Prediction
Guadalajara 2 - 1 Juárez
Half Time Score Prediction
Guadalajara 1 - 0 Juárez
Match-Winning Factors
- Guadalajara's defensive solidity
- Juárez's reliance on counter-attacks
In conclusion, while Juárez will put up a strong fight, Guadalajara's tactical discipline and player quality are likely to secure them the victory.
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