MATCH OVERVIEW
Juárez will host Querétaro in a pivotal Liga MX match that could significantly impact both teams' standings. Juárez, currently mid-table, will aim to leverage their home advantage at the Estadio Olímpico Benito Juárez. Querétaro, on the other hand, is looking to climb the ranks and secure a better position as the season nears its climax. The match is scheduled for April 20, 2025, at 01:00 AM, and fans can expect a thrilling encounter.
ODDS ANALYSIS
The average odds suggest Juárez is slightly favored to win with odds of 2.11, translating to a 47.39% probability. A draw is priced at 3.16, indicating a 31.65% chance, while Querétaro's odds of 3.43 reflect a 29.15% probability of an away victory. Juárez's home advantage and slightly better form make them the expected winners, but Querétaro's resilience could lead to a closely contested match.
TEAM ANALYSIS
Juárez has shown moderate form this season, with an average of 1.13 goals per match and a possession rate of 48.09%. Their offensive capabilities are highlighted by their 53.13% over 2.5 goals percentage. However, they concede 1.66 goals on average, which could be a concern against Querétaro's counter-attacking style.
Querétaro, with a lower possession rate of 39.61%, relies on quick transitions and defensive solidity. They average 0.87 goals per match and have a slightly higher conceded goals rate of 1.58. Their ability to intercept and tackle effectively could be crucial in disrupting Juárez's attacking flow.
KEY PLAYERS SPOTLIGHT
Juárez's Óscar Estupiñán, with 9 goals this season, will be a key figure in their attacking lineup. Ángel Zaldívar and Guilherme Castilho also contribute significantly to their goal tally. Querétaro's Pablo Barrera and Rubio Rubín, with 4 and 3 goals respectively, will be pivotal in their offensive efforts.
The matchup between Juárez's Carlos Salcedo and Querétaro's Franco Russo could be decisive in determining the defensive stability of both teams.
STATISTICAL DEEP DIVE
Juárez's offensive metrics, such as 10.66 shots per game and 3.84 shots on target, indicate a proactive approach. Their expected goals (xG) of 1.00 suggest they create quality chances. Defensively, their 37.72 interceptions per game highlight their ability to regain possession.
Querétaro's defensive metrics, including 39.42 interceptions and 4.77 successful tackles per game, underscore their focus on disrupting opposition play. Their xG of 0.84 reflects a need for more clinical finishing.
PREDICTION AND CONCLUSION
Juárez's home advantage and slightly superior form make them favorites for this encounter. Key factors such as Óscar Estupiñán's goal-scoring prowess and their ability to maintain possession could be decisive. Querétaro's defensive resilience and counter-attacking potential should not be underestimated.
Final Score Prediction: Juárez 2-1 Querétaro Half Time Score Prediction: Juárez 1-0 Querétaro Both Teams To Score Probability: 50% Over 2.5 Goals Probability: 53%
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