Match Overview
Querétaro and Puebla face off in a crucial Liga MX match that could have significant implications for their respective campaigns. Querétaro, playing at home, will be eager to capitalize on their familiar surroundings to gain an edge over Puebla. Meanwhile, Puebla will be looking to exploit any weaknesses in Querétaro's defense to secure an away victory.
Odds Analysis
The average odds for this match suggest a closely contested affair, with Querétaro having a slight edge as the home team. The odds are as follows:
- Querétaro Win: 2.26
- Draw: 3.28
- Puebla Win: 3.02
These odds translate to the following probabilities:
- Querétaro Win: 44.25%
- Draw: 30.49%
- Puebla Win: 33.11%
Based on these probabilities, Querétaro is favored to win, but the possibility of a draw or a Puebla victory cannot be discounted.
Team Analysis
Querétaro
- Current Form: Querétaro has struggled this season, with an average of 0.84 goals per match and a possession rate of 40.56%.
- Strengths: Strong in dribbling with 11.32 successful dribbles per match.
- Weaknesses: Defensive vulnerabilities, conceding 1.76 goals per match.
Puebla
- Current Form: Puebla has shown more attacking prowess, averaging 1.08 goals per match.
- Strengths: Effective in duels, with 102.77 successful duels per match.
- Weaknesses: Slightly lower possession at 38.35% and defensive lapses, conceding 1.65 goals per match.
Head-to-Head
Historically, matches between Querétaro and Puebla have been tightly contested, with both teams having their share of victories. This adds an extra layer of intrigue to the upcoming clash.
Tactical Approaches
Querétaro may focus on solidifying their defense and utilizing their dribbling skills to create opportunities. Puebla, on the other hand, might aim to control the midfield and capitalize on their superior duel success rate to disrupt Querétaro's play.
Key Players Spotlight
Querétaro
- Rubio Rubín: With 3 goals this season, Rubín will be crucial in Querétaro's attacking efforts.
- Guillermo Allison: A key figure in defense, Allison's performance could be pivotal.
Puebla
- Emiliano Gómez: Leading scorer with 5 goals, Gómez will be a constant threat to Querétaro's defense.
- Lucas Cavallini: With 4 goals, Cavallini's form will be vital for Puebla's attacking success.
Statistical Deep Dive
Offensive and Defensive Metrics
- Querétaro averages 8.52 shots per match, with 2.68 on target.
- Puebla averages 10.88 shots per match, with 3.77 on target.
- Querétaro's expected goals (xG) is 0.81, while Puebla's is 1.1.
Possession and Passing
- Querétaro averages 321.6 passes per match with a success rate of 79.5%.
- Puebla averages 311.08 passes per match with a success rate of 78.8%.
Prediction and Conclusion
Based on the analysis, Querétaro's home advantage and Puebla's attacking capabilities suggest a closely fought match. Key factors such as Querétaro's defensive solidity and Puebla's ability to convert chances will likely determine the outcome.
Final Score Prediction
- Querétaro 1-1 Puebla
This prediction reflects the balanced nature of both teams, with a draw being a likely result given their current form and statistics.
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