MATCH OVERVIEW
St. Mirren and Aberdeen are set to face off in a crucial Scottish Premiership match at the SMISA Stadium. Scheduled for May 3, 2025, at 2:00 PM, this fixture holds significant importance as both teams are eager to secure vital points in the league standings. St. Mirren, playing at home, will aim to exploit their familiarity with the venue, while Aberdeen will look to assert their dominance with their possession-based play.
ODDS ANALYSIS
The average odds for this match suggest a closely contested battle, with St. Mirren's odds at 2.58, Aberdeen's at 2.66, and a draw at 3.34. This indicates a balanced probability for each outcome, with the home team having a slight edge. The odds reflect a competitive match, with the likelihood of a draw being relatively high.
TEAM ANALYSIS
St. Mirren
- Current Form: St. Mirren has shown a mixed form this season, with a notable ability to score, averaging 1.36 goals per match.
- Strengths: Their offensive play is highlighted by a high percentage of successful dribbles (13.91) and a solid CompaScore Offensive Rating of 517.75.
- Weaknesses: Defensive vulnerabilities are evident, with an average of 1.64 goals conceded per match.
Aberdeen
- Current Form: Aberdeen has maintained a consistent performance, with a slightly higher possession rate of 53.12%.
- Strengths: Their passing game is strong, averaging 434.06 passes per match, and a CompaScore Passes Rating of 414.2.
- Weaknesses: Despite their offensive prowess, they concede an average of 1.48 goals per match.
Head-to-Head
Historically, matches between these two teams have been closely contested, with both sides having their share of victories. Tactical approaches will be crucial, with St. Mirren likely to focus on counter-attacks, while Aberdeen may dominate possession.
KEY PLAYERS SPOTLIGHT
St. Mirren
- Toyosi Olusanya: Leading the goal-scoring chart with 8 goals, Olusanya is a key player for St. Mirren.
- Marcus Fraser: With 197.72 points, Fraser's defensive contributions are vital.
Aberdeen
- Kevin Nisbet: Top scorer with 9 goals, Nisbet's form will be crucial for Aberdeen.
- Mats Knoester: Knoester's 202.75 points highlight his impact in both defense and attack.
STATISTICAL DEEP DIVE
- Offensive Metrics: St. Mirren averages 10.52 shots per match, while Aberdeen slightly edges them with 10.94.
- Defensive Metrics: St. Mirren's interceptions (41.88) are higher than Aberdeen's (39.39), indicating a proactive defensive approach.
- Possession and Passing: Aberdeen's superior possession and passing stats could give them an edge in controlling the game.
PREDICTION AND CONCLUSION
Based on the data, this match is expected to be tightly contested. Aberdeen's possession and passing strengths may give them a slight advantage, but St. Mirren's home advantage and offensive capabilities cannot be underestimated. Key factors will include Aberdeen's ability to convert possession into goals and St. Mirren's counter-attacking prowess.
Final Score Prediction
A draw seems likely, with a predicted scoreline of 1-1. Both teams are expected to score, with a high probability of over 2.5 goals given their offensive stats.
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