Match Overview
Alianza Lima and Defensor Sporting are set to face off in a crucial Copa Libertadores match. Alianza Lima, playing at home, will aim to leverage their strong form and statistics to secure a victory. Defensor Sporting, on the other hand, will look to upset the odds and claim a vital win.
Odds Analysis
The average odds for this match suggest a strong likelihood of an Alianza Lima victory, with odds of 1.23. The probability of a draw stands at 5.47, while Defensor Sporting's chances are rated at 10.7. This translates to a high probability of a home win, with Alianza Lima expected to dominate.
Team Analysis
Alianza Lima
- Current Form: Alianza Lima has played 6 matches this season, showcasing a balanced performance with an average of 1.5 goals per game.
- Strengths: High Both Teams To Score percentage (83.33%) and solid possession stats (46.83%).
- Weaknesses: Vulnerable to dangerous own half losses (4.67 per game).
Defensor Sporting
- Current Form: With only 2 matches played, Defensor Sporting has struggled offensively, averaging 0 goals.
- Strengths: Strong possession stats (60%) and successful duels (126).
- Weaknesses: High conceded goals average (2 per game).
Head-to-Head Statistics
Alianza Lima and Defensor Sporting have not faced each other frequently, making this encounter a fresh challenge for both teams.
Tactical Approaches
Alianza Lima is expected to focus on their offensive capabilities, leveraging their high shots on target (5.33) and successful dribbles (15.17). Defensor Sporting will likely emphasize defensive solidity and possession control.
Key Players Spotlight
Alianza Lima
- Hernán Barcos: Top scorer with 4 goals, crucial for Alianza Lima's attacking prowess.
- Kevin Quevedo: Contributing 3 goals, adds depth to the forward line.
Defensor Sporting
- Juan Viacava: Leading performer with 202.12 points, pivotal in defense.
- Alfonso Barco: Key defensive asset with 170.82 points.
Statistical Deep Dive
- Offensive Metrics: Alianza Lima averages 11.33 shots per game, while Defensor Sporting has a higher shots off target rate (10).
- Defensive Metrics: Alianza Lima's expected goals against (0.89) indicates a strong defensive setup compared to Defensor Sporting's 1.19.
Prediction and Conclusion
Based on the data, Alianza Lima is favored to win, with their offensive strength and home advantage being decisive factors. Defensor Sporting's defensive resilience will be tested, but their lack of goals could be their downfall.
Final Score Prediction: Alianza Lima 2-0 Defensor Sporting Half Time Score Prediction: Alianza Lima 1-0 Defensor Sporting Match-Winning Factors: Alianza Lima's attacking depth and home advantage.
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