MATCH OVERVIEW
Real Valladolid will face Deportivo Alavés in a pivotal La Liga match that could significantly impact the standings. With Alavés currently favored by the odds, Valladolid will need to leverage their home advantage to upset the visitors. The Estadio José Zorrilla will be the battleground for this encounter, scheduled for May 18, 2025, at 17:00 GMT.
ODDS ANALYSIS
The odds suggest a strong likelihood of an Alavés victory, with their win probability at 60.98% compared to Valladolid's 18.73%. The draw stands at 25.84%, indicating a competitive match but with Alavés as the clear favorites. These odds reflect Alavés' superior form and statistical advantage over Valladolid.
TEAM ANALYSIS
Real Valladolid has struggled this season, averaging only 0.74 goals per match and conceding 2.43. Their possession rate of 43.74% highlights their difficulty in controlling games. In contrast, Alavés has been more consistent, scoring an average of 1 goal per match and maintaining a slightly higher possession rate of 45.09%. Alavés' defensive solidity, conceding only 1.34 goals per match, gives them an edge.
Head-to-head, Alavés has historically performed better against Valladolid, and their tactical approach, focusing on solid defense and efficient counter-attacks, could prove decisive.
KEY PLAYERS SPOTLIGHT
For Valladolid, Mamadou Sylla and Raúl Moro are key players, having scored 5 and 4 goals respectively. Their ability to find the net will be crucial against a robust Alavés defense.
Alavés will rely heavily on Kike García, who has been prolific with 12 goals this season. His matchup against Valladolid's defense will be a key factor in determining the outcome.
STATISTICAL DEEP DIVE
Alavés boasts superior metrics in several areas, including a higher CompaScore Rating of 2498.58 compared to Valladolid's 1940.12. Their offensive and defensive ratings are notably higher, indicating a balanced and effective team performance.
Valladolid's lower expected goals (0.96) and higher expected goals against (1.93) suggest vulnerabilities that Alavés could exploit.
PREDICTION AND CONCLUSION
Based on the data, Alavés is likely to secure a victory, leveraging their stronger offensive capabilities and defensive resilience. Key factors such as Kike García's goal-scoring prowess and Alavés' tactical discipline will be crucial.
Final Score Prediction: 2-1 in favor of Deportivo Alavés Half Time Score Prediction: 1-0 in favor of Deportivo Alavés
Overall, Alavés' superior form and tactical approach make them favorites to win, but Valladolid's home advantage could lead to a closely contested match.
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