Match Overview
Empoli and Roma face off in a pivotal Serie A match that could significantly impact their respective campaigns. Empoli, currently struggling in the lower half of the table, will be desperate to secure points at home. Meanwhile, Roma is pushing for a Champions League spot, making this match crucial for their ambitions.
Odds Analysis
The odds favor Roma with an average of 1.89, indicating a 52.9% probability of an away win. Empoli's odds stand at 4.19, translating to a 23.9% chance of a home victory, while a draw is priced at 3.5, giving it a 28.6% likelihood. Based on these odds, Roma is expected to come out on top, but Empoli's home advantage could play a role.
Team Analysis
Empoli
- Current Form: Empoli has struggled this season, with an average of 0.85 goals per match and a possession rate of 41.46%.
- Strengths: Empoli's dribbling success rate is notable at 75.6%, and they have a solid interception rate of 38.35 per match.
- Weaknesses: Their defense has been leaky, conceding 1.65 goals per game, and their attack lacks potency with only 2.92 shots on target per match.
Roma
- Current Form: Roma has been more consistent, averaging 1.54 goals per match and maintaining 54.12% possession.
- Strengths: Roma's offensive capabilities are strong, with 13.38 shots per game and a high passing accuracy of 87.3%.
- Weaknesses: They have shown vulnerability in defense, conceding 1.12 goals per match.
Head-to-Head
In their last five meetings, Roma has dominated with four wins, while Empoli has managed just one draw. This historical advantage gives Roma a psychological edge.
Tactical Approaches
Empoli is likely to adopt a defensive setup, focusing on counter-attacks, while Roma will aim to control possession and exploit Empoli's defensive frailties.
Key Players Spotlight
Empoli
- Sebastiano Esposito: With 8 goals this season, Esposito is Empoli's main attacking threat.
- Sebastian Walukiewicz: A key figure in defense, contributing significantly to Empoli's interception stats.
Roma
- Paulo Dybala: A creative force with 6 goals, Dybala's playmaking abilities are crucial for Roma.
- Artem Dovbyk: Leading Roma's attack with 8 goals, Dovbyk's form will be vital.
Statistical Deep Dive
- Offensive Metrics: Roma averages 13.38 shots per game compared to Empoli's 8.62, highlighting their attacking prowess.
- Defensive Metrics: Empoli's higher interception rate (38.35) suggests a more aggressive defensive approach.
- Passing and Possession: Roma's superior passing accuracy and possession indicate their ability to control the game.
Prediction and Conclusion
Roma's superior form and attacking strength make them favorites to win this match. Key factors include their ability to capitalize on Empoli's defensive weaknesses and maintain possession. Empoli's chances hinge on a solid defensive performance and effective counter-attacks.
Final Score Prediction: Roma 2-1 Empoli Half-Time Score Prediction: Roma 1-0 Empoli Both Teams to Score Probability: 54% Over 2.5 Goals Probability: 47%