MATCH OVERVIEW
Deportivo Alavés and Getafe are set to face off in a La Liga showdown that could have significant ramifications for both teams' seasons. With Alavés currently sitting in the mid-table, they are looking to leverage their home advantage at the Estadio de Mendizorroza to secure a win. Meanwhile, Getafe, who are battling to move up the standings, will be keen to snatch points away from home.
ODDS ANALYSIS
The average odds for this match suggest a slight edge for Deportivo Alavés, with odds of 2.23 for a home win, 2.86 for a draw, and 3.59 for a Getafe victory. This translates to a probability of approximately 44.8% for an Alavés win, 34.9% for a draw, and 27.8% for a Getafe win. The odds indicate a competitive match, with Alavés being the marginal favorites.
TEAM ANALYSIS
Deportivo Alavés
- Current Form: Alavés has shown a mixed form this season, with an average of 0.8 goals per match and a possession rate of 49.4%.
- Strengths: Strong in dribbling with 20.35 attempts per game and a high success rate of 14.7.
- Weaknesses: Struggles in goal-scoring, averaging only 0.8 goals per match.
- Head-to-Head: Historically, Alavés has had a balanced record against Getafe, making this encounter unpredictable.
Getafe
- Current Form: Getafe has also had a challenging season, averaging 0.75 goals per match with a possession rate of 44.5%.
- Strengths: Defensive resilience with a higher average of clearances (6.95) and goalkeeper saves (3.35).
- Weaknesses: Limited offensive output, with only 0.75 goals per match.
- Head-to-Head: Getafe will look to improve their record against Alavés, focusing on their defensive solidity.
KEY PLAYERS SPOTLIGHT
Deportivo Alavés
- Lucas Boyé: Top scorer with 4 goals, crucial for Alavés' attacking play.
- Jonny Otto: Key defensive player with significant contributions in interceptions and tackles.
Getafe
- Borja Mayoral: Leading scorer with 4 goals, vital for Getafe's offensive efforts.
- David Soria: Goalkeeper with a high save rate, essential for maintaining defensive stability.
STATISTICAL DEEP DIVE
- Offensive Metrics: Alavés averages 10.2 shots per game, slightly higher than Getafe's 9.05.
- Defensive Metrics: Getafe's defensive rating of 535.11 surpasses Alavés' 507.72, indicating a stronger backline.
- Possession and Passing: Alavés leads in possession (49.4%) and successful passes (353.75) compared to Getafe's 223.15.
PREDICTION AND CONCLUSION
Based on the statistical analysis and current form, Deportivo Alavés is slightly favored to win this encounter. Key factors include their home advantage and superior dribbling and passing metrics. However, Getafe's defensive capabilities could make it a close contest.
Final Score Prediction: Deportivo Alavés 1-0 Getafe
Potential Match-Winning Factors:
- Alavés' home advantage and dribbling prowess.
- Getafe's defensive resilience and goalkeeping.
In conclusion, this match is expected to be a tightly contested affair with Alavés having a slight edge due to their home advantage and offensive capabilities.
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