MATCH OVERVIEW
Cuiabá will host Amazonas in a pivotal Brazil Série B match at the Arena Pantanal. This encounter is crucial for both teams as they aim to improve their standings in the league. Cuiabá, playing at home, will look to leverage their familiarity with the venue to secure a win, while Amazonas will be keen to prove their mettle on the road.
ODDS ANALYSIS
The average odds for this match suggest a strong likelihood of a home victory, with Cuiabá priced at 1.48, indicating a 67.6% probability of winning. The odds for a draw stand at 3.21, translating to a 31.2% chance, while an Amazonas win is considered less likely at 5.37, with an 18.6% probability. Based on these odds, Cuiabá is the clear favorite to take all three points.
TEAM ANALYSIS
Cuiabá
- Current Form: Cuiabá has shown a balanced performance this season, with an average of 1 goal per match and a possession rate of 52.8%.
- Strengths: Their ability to maintain possession and create opportunities, as evidenced by their 13.33 shots per game, is a key strength.
- Weaknesses: Conceding an average of 1.07 goals per match indicates potential vulnerabilities in defense.
Amazonas
- Current Form: Amazonas has struggled offensively, averaging only 0.8 goals per match, but they have a slightly higher both teams to score percentage at 46.67%.
- Strengths: Their defensive resilience, with 41.6 interceptions per game, is notable.
- Weaknesses: A lower possession rate of 47.13% and higher expected goals against (1.53) suggest defensive frailties.
Head-to-Head
Historically, Cuiabá has had the upper hand in previous encounters, leveraging their home advantage effectively.
KEY PLAYERS SPOTLIGHT
Cuiabá
- Mateusinho: With 3 goals this season, he is a crucial attacking threat.
- Derik Lacerda: His contribution of 2 goals adds depth to their offensive lineup.
Amazonas
- Luan Silva: Leading the team with 4 goals, Silva is Amazonas' primary goal-scoring threat.
- Jackson: His 2 goals this season highlight his potential impact in the match.
STATISTICAL DEEP DIVE
- Cuiabá: Average 1.19 expected goals per match, indicating a solid offensive potential.
- Amazonas: Concede 1.33 goals on average, which could be exploited by Cuiabá's attack.
- Possession and Passing: Cuiabá's superior passing accuracy and possession could dictate the match tempo.
PREDICTION AND CONCLUSION
Cuiabá's home advantage and superior statistical metrics suggest they are well-positioned to secure a victory. Key factors include their higher expected goals and possession rate, which could overwhelm Amazonas' defense. Expect a competitive match, but Cuiabá's strengths should see them through.
Final Score Prediction: Cuiabá 2-1 Amazonas Half Time Score Prediction: Cuiabá 1-0 Amazonas Both Teams to Score Probability: 40% Over 2.5 Goals Probability: 33%
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