Match Overview
Erzgebirge Aue and Stuttgart II face off in a pivotal 3. Liga match that could influence their positions in the league table. Erzgebirge Aue, playing at home, will look to leverage their familiarity with the Erzgebirgsstadion to secure a win. Meanwhile, Stuttgart II, known for their resilience, will aim to challenge the hosts and gain valuable points.
Odds Analysis
The average odds for this match suggest a slight edge for Erzgebirge Aue with odds of 2.08 for a home win, compared to 3.33 for an away victory and 3.62 for a draw. This translates to a probability of approximately 48% for Aue to win, 27% for Stuttgart II, and 25% for a draw. The odds indicate a competitive match, with Aue favored to emerge victorious.
Team Analysis
Erzgebirge Aue
- Matches: 29
- Over 2.5 Goals: 17 (58.62%)
- Both Teams To Score: 18 (62.07%)
- Goals: 1.38
- Conceded Goals: 1.55
Aue's strengths lie in their offensive capabilities, with a decent goal-scoring record and a high percentage of matches with over 2.5 goals. However, their defense has been vulnerable, conceding an average of 1.55 goals per game.
Stuttgart II
- Matches: 28
- Over 2.5 Goals: 16 (57.14%)
- Both Teams To Score: 16 (57.14%)
- Goals: 1.25
- Conceded Goals: 1.68
Stuttgart II has shown consistency in scoring, but their defense has been slightly weaker, conceding 1.68 goals on average. Their possession stats are slightly better than Aue, which could be crucial in controlling the game.
Key Players Spotlight
Erzgebirge Aue
- Marcel Bär: 11 goals
- Marvin Stefaniak: 6 goals
Marcel Bär is a key player for Aue, with his goal-scoring prowess being a significant asset. His matchup against Stuttgart II's defense will be crucial.
Stuttgart II
- Thomas Kastanaras: 5 goals
- Wahid Faghir: 5 goals
Kastanaras and Faghir are vital for Stuttgart II's attacking strategy, and their ability to find the net could be decisive.
Statistical Deep Dive
Offensive Metrics
- Aue: 10.28 shots per game, 3.93 on target
- Stuttgart II: 9.68 shots per game, 3.75 on target
Defensive Metrics
- Aue: 42.17 interceptions
- Stuttgart II: 44.64 interceptions
Aue's slightly better shooting accuracy could give them an edge, while Stuttgart II's superior interception rate might help them disrupt Aue's attacks.
Prediction and Conclusion
Based on the data, Erzgebirge Aue is likely to win, leveraging their home advantage and offensive strength. Key factors include Aue's goal-scoring ability and Stuttgart II's defensive vulnerabilities. Expect a competitive match with Aue edging out Stuttgart II.
Final Score Prediction: Erzgebirge Aue 2-1 Stuttgart II Half Time Score Prediction: Erzgebirge Aue 1-0 Stuttgart II Both Teams to Score Probability: 60% Over 2.5 Goals Probability: 58%
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