MATCH OVERVIEW
Suwon and Gangwon are set to face off in a crucial K League 1 match that could have significant implications for both teams' seasons. Suwon, currently struggling to climb the league table, will be desperate for a win at home. Gangwon, on the other hand, is looking to solidify their position and possibly move up the ranks. The match will be held at the Suwon World Cup Stadium, a venue known for its vibrant atmosphere, on September 21, 2025, at 7:30 AM UTC.
ODDS ANALYSIS
The average odds for this match suggest a closely contested battle, with Suwon having odds of 2.69 to win, while Gangwon is slightly favored with odds of 2.35. The draw is priced at 3.3, indicating a competitive match. The probabilities based on these odds are approximately 37% for a Suwon win, 29% for a draw, and 42% for a Gangwon victory. Given these odds, Gangwon appears to have a slight edge, but Suwon's home advantage could play a crucial role.
TEAM ANALYSIS
Suwon
Suwon has had a mixed season, with an average of 1.45 goals per match and a possession rate of 44.76%. Their offensive capabilities are highlighted by their high Both Teams To Score percentage of 72.41% and Over 2.5 Goals percentage of 62.07%. However, their defense has been a concern, conceding an average of 1.62 goals per game.
Gangwon
Gangwon has shown resilience with a slightly better possession rate of 48.17% and a solid defensive record, conceding only 1.1 goals per match. Their offensive output is lower, with an average of 1 goal per game, but their Expected Goals Against of 1.21 suggests a well-organized defense.
Head-to-Head
Historically, matches between Suwon and Gangwon have been tightly contested, with both teams having their fair share of victories. Suwon's home advantage could be pivotal, but Gangwon's recent form suggests they could pose a significant challenge.
KEY PLAYERS SPOTLIGHT
Suwon
- Pablo Sabbag: With 13 goals this season, Sabbag is Suwon's top scorer and a key player to watch.
- Willyan: Another crucial player, contributing 8 goals and providing attacking depth.
Gangwon
- Vitor Gabriel: Leading the charge for Gangwon with 4 goals, Gabriel's performance will be vital.
- Jae-hyeon Mo: A versatile player with 126.29 points, Mo's contributions in both attack and defense are noteworthy.
STATISTICAL DEEP DIVE
Offensive Metrics
- Suwon: Averaging 12.93 shots per game, with 4.9 on target, Suwon's attacking threat is evident.
- Gangwon: With 9.28 shots per game and 3.48 on target, Gangwon's efficiency in front of goal is crucial.
Defensive Metrics
- Suwon: Conceding 1.62 goals per game, their defense needs tightening.
- Gangwon: Conceding only 1.1 goals per game, Gangwon's defense is a strong point.
PREDICTION AND CONCLUSION
Based on the data, Gangwon's defensive solidity gives them a slight edge, but Suwon's attacking prowess, especially at home, cannot be underestimated. The match-winning factors will likely hinge on Suwon's ability to break down Gangwon's defense and Gangwon's counter-attacking opportunities.
Final Score Prediction
Suwon 1-2 Gangwon
Key Points Summary
- Suwon's strong home record and attacking capabilities
- Gangwon's defensive organization and recent form
- Key player performances from Pablo Sabbag and Vitor Gabriel
Overall, expect a closely fought match with Gangwon edging out Suwon in a narrow victory.
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