MATCH OVERVIEW
The upcoming Eredivisie match between Heerenveen and AZ is poised to be a captivating contest. Scheduled to kick off at 11:15 AM on November 23, 2025, at the Abe Lenstra Stadium, this fixture holds significant importance for both teams as they vie for crucial points in the league standings.
ODDS ANALYSIS
The average odds for this match suggest a competitive battle, with AZ favored to win at 1.82, while Heerenveen's odds stand at 3.38, and a draw at 3.64. This translates to a probability of approximately 54.9% for an AZ victory, 27.5% for Heerenveen, and 27.6% for a draw. Given AZ's strong form, they are expected to edge out Heerenveen, but the home side's resilience could lead to a closely contested match.
TEAM ANALYSIS
Heerenveen
Heerenveen has shown commendable performance this season, averaging 1.73 goals per match and maintaining a possession rate of 51.18%. Their offensive capabilities are highlighted by their high Both Teams To Score percentage of 90.91% and Over 2.5 Goals percentage of 72.73%. However, their defense has been vulnerable, conceding an average of 1.73 goals per game.
AZ
AZ has been impressive, averaging 2.18 goals per match with a possession rate of 55%. Their defensive solidity is evident with only 1.18 goals conceded per game. AZ's offensive prowess is further underscored by their Expected Goals of 2.21 and a high Shots on Target average of 6.45.
Head-to-Head
Historically, AZ has had the upper hand in this fixture, often outperforming Heerenveen. Their tactical approach, focusing on high possession and quick transitions, has proven effective against Heerenveen's defense.
KEY PLAYERS SPOTLIGHT
Heerenveen
- Dylan Vente: With 5 goals this season, Vente is a key figure in Heerenveen's attack.
- Jacob Trenskow: Contributing 4 goals, Trenskow's creativity and scoring ability are vital.
AZ
- Troy Parrott: Leading AZ's scoring chart with 6 goals, Parrott's form is crucial for their success.
- Sven Mijnans: A versatile player, Mijnans has scored 2 goals and provides significant midfield strength.
STATISTICAL DEEP DIVE
Offensive and Defensive Metrics
- Heerenveen: Averaging 14.55 shots per game, with 4.91 on target, they have a solid offensive setup but need to tighten their defense.
- AZ: With 16.64 shots per game and 6.45 on target, AZ's attack is formidable, supported by a strong defensive record.
Possession and Passing
- Heerenveen: Their passing accuracy stands at 81.3%, with 425.91 passes per game.
- AZ: AZ excels with 457.82 passes per game and a higher accuracy of 84.6%.
PREDICTION AND CONCLUSION
Based on the data, AZ is likely to secure a victory, given their superior offensive and defensive metrics. Heerenveen's home advantage and attacking potential could make the match competitive, but AZ's consistency and tactical discipline are expected to prevail.
Final Score Prediction: AZ 2-1 Heerenveen Half Time Score Prediction: AZ 1-0 Heerenveen Probability for Both Teams to Score: 85% Probability for Over 2.5 Goals: 75%
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