MATCH OVERVIEW
Haugesund and Fredrikstad are gearing up for a pivotal match in the Eliteserien, with both teams eager to secure a win that could significantly impact their standings. Haugesund, playing at home, will look to leverage their familiarity with the Haugesund Stadion to gain an advantage. The match is scheduled for November 26, 2025, at 17:00, and promises to be a high-stakes encounter.
ODDS ANALYSIS
The odds favor Haugesund with a 1.71 chance of winning, while Fredrikstad stands at 4.32, and a draw is priced at 4.03. This suggests a 58.5% probability for a Haugesund victory, a 23.8% chance for a draw, and a 17.7% likelihood for Fredrikstad to win. Given these odds, Haugesund is expected to dominate, but Fredrikstad's potential for an upset cannot be overlooked.
TEAM ANALYSIS
Haugesund
Haugesund's season has been marked by inconsistency, with an average of 0.72 goals per match and a concerning 2.62 goals conceded. Their offensive struggles are evident, but their ability to score over 2.5 goals in 65.52% of matches indicates potential for high-scoring games. Defensively, they face challenges, with a high expected goals against of 2.48.
Fredrikstad
Fredrikstad has shown more stability, averaging 1.31 goals per match and conceding just 1.03. Their possession rate of 47.62% and higher offensive rating suggest a more balanced approach. Fredrikstad's ability to maintain a solid defense could be crucial against Haugesund's attacking threats.
Head-to-Head
Historically, Haugesund has had the upper hand in this fixture, but Fredrikstad's recent form suggests they could challenge this trend. Tactical adjustments and player performances will be key in determining the outcome.
KEY PLAYERS SPOTLIGHT
Haugesund
- Sory Diarra: Leading the team with 6 goals, Diarra's form will be crucial for Haugesund's attacking prospects.
- Madiodio Dia: With 171.62 points, Dia's contributions in midfield could be pivotal.
Fredrikstad
- Oskar Øhlenschlæger: Matching Diarra with 6 goals, Øhlenschlæger is a key threat for Fredrikstad.
- Valdemar Birksø: His impressive 464.01 points highlight his influence on Fredrikstad's gameplay.
STATISTICAL DEEP DIVE
Offensive and Defensive Metrics
- Haugesund: Average 8.17 shots per game, with 3.38 on target. Their defensive struggles are highlighted by 2.62 goals conceded per match.
- Fredrikstad: Average 10.62 shots per game, with 4.31 on target. Their defense is more robust, conceding only 1.03 goals per match.
Possession and Passing
- Haugesund: 43.9% possession with 400.38 passes per game.
- Fredrikstad: 47.62% possession with 408.31 passes per game.
PREDICTION AND CONCLUSION
Given the statistical insights and odds, Haugesund is favored to win, but Fredrikstad's solid defense and balanced attack could lead to a competitive match. Key factors will include Haugesund's ability to break down Fredrikstad's defense and Fredrikstad's counter-attacking potential.
Final Score Prediction
- Full Time: Haugesund 2-1 Fredrikstad
- Half Time: Haugesund 1-0 Fredrikstad
Both teams are likely to score, with a 41.38% chance for Haugesund and 44.83% for Fredrikstad. The probability for over 2.5 goals is high, given Haugesund's scoring trends.
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