Real Zaragoza enters this match with a solid home advantage, reflected in their average odds of 2.22 for a win. The draw is priced at 2.96, while Mirandés, despite their impressive form, is seen as the underdog with odds of 3.29. The probabilities suggest a 45% chance for Zaragoza to win, a 33% chance for a draw, and a 22% chance for Mirandés to claim victory. Given Zaragoza's higher possession and offensive metrics, they are expected to dominate the game, but Mirandés' strong defensive record could pose challenges.
Real Zaragoza has been consistent this season, with a notable average of 1.3 goals per match and a possession rate of 51.03%. Their offensive prowess is highlighted by their 57.58% over 2.5 goals rate and 63.64% both teams to score rate. However, their defense has been vulnerable, conceding an average of 1.42 goals per game.
Mirandés, on the other hand, boasts a robust defense, conceding only 0.81 goals per match. Their offensive output is similar to Zaragoza, with an average of 1.34 goals per game. Despite lower possession stats, Mirandés' tactical approach focuses on counter-attacks and efficient passing, as seen in their successful pass rate of 256 per match.
Head-to-head statistics favor Zaragoza, who have historically performed well against Mirandés. However, Mirandés' current form and tactical discipline could lead to an upset.
Key players to watch include Zaragoza's Mario Soberón, who has scored 9 goals this season, and Mirandés' Joaquín Panichelli, with 15 goals. The duel between these forwards could be decisive in determining the match outcome.
Statistically, Zaragoza's offensive metrics, such as shots on target (4.61) and successful dribbles (14.45), give them an edge. Mirandés' defensive metrics, including interceptions (38.09) and successful tackles (2.66), highlight their ability to disrupt opposition play.
In conclusion, while Zaragoza is favored to win, Mirandés' defensive strength and counter-attacking strategy could lead to a closely contested match. A final score prediction of 2-1 in favor of Zaragoza reflects their home advantage and offensive capabilities.
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