Sheffield United enters this match with a strong home advantage, reflected in their favorable odds of 1.61 for a win. The Blades have shown consistent form this season, averaging 1.43 goals per match and maintaining a solid defensive record with only 0.77 goals conceded per game. Their possession rate of 50% and a high number of successful passes (358.94) indicate a well-organized team capable of controlling the game.
Preston North End, on the other hand, faces a challenging task with odds of 5.1 for an away victory. Despite this, they have demonstrated resilience, with a higher Both Teams To Score percentage (58.82%) compared to Sheffield's 37.14%. Preston's ability to find the net, averaging 1.06 goals per game, coupled with their competitive duels (218.94), suggests they won't be easily subdued.
Head-to-head statistics favor Sheffield United, who have historically performed well against Preston. However, Preston's tactical approach, focusing on counter-attacks and exploiting set-pieces, could pose a threat to Sheffield's defense. Sheffield's expected goals (1.32) and expected goals against (1.16) further highlight their balanced approach, while Preston's expected goals (1.17) and expected goals against (1.24) suggest a slightly more vulnerable defense.
In terms of key players, Sheffield's Gustavo Hamer, with 7 goals this season, will be pivotal in breaking down Preston's defense. Meanwhile, Preston's Emil Riis, who has netted 9 goals, will be the main threat to Sheffield's backline. The midfield battle between Sheffield's Vini Souza and Preston's Lewis Gibson could also be decisive, with both players contributing significantly to their teams' performances.
Statistically, Sheffield United holds an edge in offensive metrics, with more shots (11.29) and shots on target (4) per game compared to Preston's 9.32 and 3.24, respectively. Defensively, Sheffield's lower conceded goals and higher interceptions (40.34) suggest a more robust backline. However, Preston's higher successful duels and tackles indicate their physicality and determination in defense.
Overall, Sheffield United's home advantage, combined with their superior offensive and defensive statistics, positions them as favorites. However, Preston's fighting spirit and ability to score could lead to a closely contested match.