Match Overview
Burton Albion and Mansfield Town are gearing up for a pivotal clash in League 1, with both teams looking to secure a win that could bolster their standings. This match is not just about points; it's about momentum and confidence as the season progresses. The Pirelli Stadium will host this exciting fixture, with a 15:00 kick-off time on March 1, 2025.
Odds Analysis
The average odds for this match are as follows: Burton Albion to win at 2.1, a draw at 3.5, and Mansfield Town to win at 3.39. These odds suggest a closely contested match, with Burton Albion slightly favored to take the victory. The probability of a home win stands at approximately 47.6%, while a draw is at 28.6%, and an away win at 29.5%. Based on these odds, Burton Albion is expected to have a slight edge, but Mansfield Town's potential to upset should not be underestimated.
Team Analysis
Burton Albion
- Current Form & Statistics: Burton Albion has played 33 matches this season, with an average of 1.03 goals per game and a possession rate of 44.73%. They have a moderate success rate in both offensive and defensive plays, with 3.18 shots on target per game and 1.45 goals conceded on average.
- Strengths & Weaknesses: Their strengths lie in their dribbling ability, averaging 13.91 successful dribbles per game. However, they struggle with maintaining possession and have a relatively high number of dangerous own half losses (7.15 per game).
- Head-to-Head: Historically, Burton Albion has had mixed results against Mansfield Town, making this encounter unpredictable.
Mansfield Town
- Current Form & Statistics: Mansfield Town has played 32 matches, scoring an average of 1.22 goals per game with a possession rate of 47.91%. They have a slightly better offensive output compared to Burton Albion, with 3.47 shots on target per game.
- Strengths & Weaknesses: Mansfield Town excels in passing, with a higher average of successful passes (313.66) and a better crossing success rate (7.28). However, their defense can be vulnerable, conceding 1.44 goals per game.
- Head-to-Head: Mansfield Town will look to leverage their offensive capabilities to challenge Burton Albion's defense.
Key Players Spotlight
- Burton Albion: Rumarn Burrell and Danilo Orsi, both with 6 goals this season, will be crucial in leading the attack. Ryan Sweeney's defensive contributions will also be vital.
- Mansfield Town: Will Evans, with 12 goals, is a key threat in the attack, while Lee Gregory's 10 goals add depth to their offensive lineup. Adedeji Oshilaja's defensive prowess will be essential in keeping Burton Albion at bay.
Statistical Deep Dive
- Offensive Metrics: Mansfield Town has a higher expected goals (xG) of 1.26 compared to Burton Albion's 1.0, indicating a more potent attack.
- Defensive Metrics: Both teams have similar defensive records, but Mansfield Town's higher expected goals against (xGA) of 1.57 suggests potential vulnerabilities.
- Passing & Possession: Mansfield Town's superior passing accuracy and possession could be decisive in controlling the game's tempo.
Prediction and Conclusion
Based on the statistical analysis and current form, Burton Albion holds a slight advantage, but Mansfield Town's offensive capabilities could turn the tide. Key factors such as possession control and defensive solidity will likely determine the outcome. Expect a closely fought match with both teams having opportunities to score.
Final Score Prediction: Burton Albion 2-1 Mansfield Town
Potential Match-Winning Factors: Burton Albion's home advantage and Mansfield Town's offensive threats.