Hamburger SV enters this match with a strong home advantage, reflected in the odds favoring them at 1.39. Their impressive season statistics, including a high goal-scoring rate and solid possession, make them formidable opponents. Ulm, on the other hand, faces an uphill battle with odds of 6.53, indicating their underdog status. However, their resilience and ability to score could lead to surprises.
Odds Analysis
- Home Win Probability: 71.94%
- Draw Probability: 20.96%
- Away Win Probability: 15.31%
The odds suggest a high likelihood of a Hamburger SV victory, but Ulm's potential to disrupt should not be underestimated.
Team Analysis
Hamburger SV boasts a robust offensive lineup, averaging 2.19 goals per match and maintaining a possession rate of 54.94%. Their defensive capabilities are also noteworthy, with only 1.25 goals conceded per game. Ulm, while less prolific in attack, has shown defensive resilience, matching Hamburger SV's conceded goals average.
Head-to-Head
Historically, Hamburger SV has dominated encounters with Ulm, leveraging their superior attacking prowess and tactical discipline.
Tactical Approaches
Hamburger SV is likely to employ a high-pressing strategy, capitalizing on their possession and passing accuracy. Ulm may focus on counter-attacks, utilizing their speed and dribbling skills to exploit any defensive lapses.
Key Players Spotlight
- Hamburger SV: Davie Selke, with 21 goals, is a key threat. His partnership with Jean-Luc Dompé, who has contributed 8 goals, will be crucial.
- Ulm: Semir Telalovic, leading with 11 goals, will be pivotal in Ulm's attacking strategy.
Statistical Deep Dive
Hamburger SV's offensive metrics, including 13.72 shots per game and a high expected goals rate, highlight their attacking strength. Ulm's defensive metrics, such as 43.06 interceptions, indicate their ability to disrupt opposition play.
Prediction and Conclusion
Given the statistical advantages and current form, Hamburger SV is poised to secure a victory. Key factors include their superior goal-scoring ability and tactical execution. Final score prediction: Hamburger SV 3-1 Ulm.