Schalke 04, currently in a strong position, will look to leverage their home advantage against Ulm. The odds favor Schalke with a 54.35% probability of winning, reflecting their superior form and attacking prowess. Ulm, however, cannot be underestimated, as they have shown resilience throughout the season. The draw stands at a 28.01% probability, indicating a competitive match.
Schalke 04's offensive capabilities are highlighted by their average of 1.7 goals per match and a high possession rate of 54.85%. Their ability to maintain pressure is evident in their 12.74 shots per game, with 4.52 on target. Defensively, Schalke concedes 1.78 goals per match, which could be a concern against Ulm's counter-attacking style.
Ulm, on the other hand, averages 1 goal per match and has a possession rate of 46.56%. Their defensive solidity is reflected in their 1.22 goals conceded per match. Ulm's tactical approach will likely focus on exploiting Schalke's defensive vulnerabilities, particularly through quick transitions and set-pieces.
Head-to-head statistics favor Schalke, who have historically performed well against Ulm. Schalke's tactical approach will likely emphasize high pressing and quick ball movement to disrupt Ulm's defensive setup.
Key players to watch include Schalke's Moussa Sylla, who has scored 14 goals this season, and Ulm's Semir Telalovic, with 9 goals. The midfield battle between Schalke's Ron Schallenberg and Ulm's Dennis Dressel will be crucial in determining the flow of the game.
Statistically, Schalke holds an advantage in offensive metrics, including a higher expected goals (xG) of 1.58 compared to Ulm's 1.22. Defensively, Ulm's expected goals against (xGA) of 1.62 suggests they may struggle against Schalke's attacking threats.
In conclusion, Schalke 04 is poised to secure a victory, given their superior attacking statistics and home advantage. However, Ulm's defensive resilience and counter-attacking potential could lead to a closely contested match. Expect Schalke to edge out Ulm with a final score prediction of 2-1.