MATCH OVERVIEW
Carrarese and Juve Stabia are set to face off in a highly anticipated Serie B match. Carrarese, playing at home, will look to leverage their familiarity with the Stadio dei Marmi to gain an advantage. Juve Stabia, on the other hand, will aim to capitalize on their strong away form to secure a win. This match is crucial for both teams as they seek to improve their standings in the league.
ODDS ANALYSIS
The average odds for this match suggest a closely contested game, with Carrarese slightly favored at 2.48, Juve Stabia at 2.77, and a draw at 3.06. The probabilities indicate a 40.32% chance for a Carrarese win, a 36.10% chance for Juve Stabia, and a 32.68% chance for a draw. Based on these odds, a narrow victory for Carrarese seems likely, but Juve Stabia's potential to upset should not be underestimated.
TEAM ANALYSIS
Carrarese has shown decent form this season, averaging 1.6 goals per match and maintaining a possession rate of 48.2%. Their offensive capabilities are highlighted by their average of 12.2 shots per game, with 4 on target. However, their defense has been somewhat vulnerable, conceding 1.4 goals per match.
Juve Stabia, meanwhile, boasts a slightly better possession rate at 54.5% and a solid defensive record, conceding only 0.83 goals per match. Their offensive play is marked by an average of 9.83 shots per game, with 3.83 on target.
KEY PLAYERS SPOTLIGHT
Carrarese's Nicolás Schiavi has been a standout performer, scoring 3 goals this season. His ability to find the back of the net will be crucial for Carrarese's success. Juve Stabia's Leonardo Candellone, also with 3 goals, will be a key player to watch, as his scoring prowess could tip the balance in favor of the visitors.
STATISTICAL DEEP DIVE
Carrarese's offensive metrics, such as their 1.45 expected goals per match, indicate a strong attacking presence. However, their defensive metrics, including 1.1 expected goals against, suggest potential vulnerabilities.
Juve Stabia's defensive strength is evident in their 0.84 expected goals against, coupled with their higher possession rate, which could give them an edge in controlling the game.
PREDICTION AND CONCLUSION
Considering the statistical data and current form, Carrarese is slightly favored to win this match. Their home advantage and offensive capabilities could be decisive. However, Juve Stabia's solid defense and ability to score could lead to a tightly contested game.
Final Score Prediction: Carrarese 2-1 Juve Stabia
Half Time Score Prediction: Carrarese 1-1 Juve Stabia
Probability of Both Teams to Score: 63%
Probability of Over 2.5 Goals: 45%