MATCH OVERVIEW
The upcoming clash between Standard Liège and Gent in the Belgium First Division is more than just a regular season game. Scheduled to kick off at 19:45 on January 23, 2026, at the iconic Stade Maurice Dufrasne, this match holds significant implications for both teams' aspirations this season. With Gent slightly favored by the odds, Standard Liège will be eager to leverage their home advantage to secure a vital win.
ODDS ANALYSIS
The average odds for this match are set at 2.92 for a Standard Liège win, 3.27 for a draw, and 2.4 for a Gent victory. These odds translate to a probability of approximately 34.2% for a home win, 30.6% for a draw, and 41.7% for an away win. Given these probabilities, Gent is seen as the slight favorite, but the close odds suggest a competitive match is expected.
TEAM ANALYSIS
Standard Liège
- Current Form & Statistics: Standard Liège has played 20 matches this season, with a modest average of 0.9 goals per game and a possession rate of 43.95%.
- Strengths & Weaknesses: Their defense, conceding 1.15 goals per game, is relatively solid, but their offensive output needs improvement.
- Head-to-Head: Historically, matches between these two sides have been closely contested, with Gent often having the upper hand.
- Tactical Approach: Expect Standard Liège to focus on a defensive setup, looking to capitalize on counter-attacks.
Gent
- Current Form & Statistics: Gent has also played 20 matches, averaging 1.4 goals per game with a possession rate of 50.35%.
- Strengths & Weaknesses: Their offensive capabilities are stronger, but they concede 1.45 goals per game, indicating potential vulnerabilities at the back.
- Head-to-Head: Gent has a favorable record against Standard Liège, which could boost their confidence.
- Tactical Approach: Gent is likely to adopt an attacking strategy, aiming to control possession and exploit Standard Liège's defensive gaps.
KEY PLAYERS SPOTLIGHT
Standard Liège
- Thomas Henry & Rafiki Saïd: Both have scored 3 goals this season and will be crucial in breaking down Gent's defense.
- Matthieu Epolo: With 253.97 points, his performance in midfield will be vital.
Gent
- Omri Gandelman: Leading the team with 7 goals, his form will be pivotal for Gent's attacking success.
- Davy Roef: With 270.92 points, his defensive contributions will be key in keeping Standard Liège at bay.
STATISTICAL DEEP DIVE
- Offensive Metrics: Gent averages more shots (12.35) and shots on target (4.25) compared to Standard Liège's 9.2 and 3.25, respectively.
- Defensive Metrics: Standard Liège's defense is slightly more robust, with fewer goals conceded per game.
- Possession & Passing: Gent's superior possession (50.35%) and passing accuracy could be decisive.
PREDICTION AND CONCLUSION
Based on the data, Gent appears to have a slight edge due to their superior offensive metrics and historical head-to-head advantage. However, Standard Liège's home advantage and defensive solidity could make this a tightly contested affair. Key match-winning factors will include Gent's ability to convert possession into goals and Standard Liège's counter-attacking efficiency.
Final Score Prediction: Standard Liège 1-2 Gent Half Time Score Prediction: Standard Liège 0-1 Gent Probability for Both Teams to Score: 60% Probability for Over 2.5 Goals: 55%
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