Match Overview
The upcoming League 1 match between Exeter City and Stockport County is a significant fixture as both teams aim to solidify their positions in the league standings. Exeter City, playing at home, will look to leverage their familiarity with St James Park to gain an advantage over Stockport County, who have been impressive this season.
Odds Analysis
The average odds for this match suggest a challenging game for Exeter City, with odds of 4.21 for a home win, 3.53 for a draw, and 1.84 for a Stockport County victory. This translates to a probability of approximately 23.75% for Exeter City to win, 28.33% for a draw, and 54.35% for Stockport County to secure an away win. The odds favor Stockport County, indicating their strong form and potential to dominate the match.
Team Analysis
Exeter City
- Current Form: Exeter City has played 38 matches this season, with a moderate performance in terms of goals and assists.
- Strengths: Their possession rate of 51.5% and successful dribbles (15.37) highlight their ability to control the game.
- Weaknesses: With an average of 1.39 goals conceded per match, their defense remains a concern.
Stockport County
- Current Form: Stockport County has been consistent, playing 39 matches with a higher goal average of 1.41.
- Strengths: Their defensive solidity is evident with only 0.9 goals conceded per match.
- Weaknesses: Despite their offensive prowess, they have a lower percentage of over 2.5 goals (35.9%).
Head-to-Head Statistics
Historically, Stockport County has had the upper hand in recent encounters, which could play a psychological role in this match.
Tactical Approaches
Exeter City may focus on maintaining possession and exploiting set-pieces, while Stockport County is likely to emphasize quick transitions and solid defensive organization.
Key Players Spotlight
Exeter City
- Millenic Alli: With 9 goals this season, Alli is a crucial attacking threat.
- Josh Magennis: His 5 goals add depth to Exeter's forward line.
Stockport County
- Louie Barry: Leading with 15 goals, Barry is a formidable striker.
- Kyle Wootton: His 8 goals complement Barry's attacking prowess.
Statistical Deep Dive
Offensive Metrics
- Exeter City: Average 1.05 goals per match, with 8.74 shots.
- Stockport County: Average 1.41 goals per match, with 11.41 shots.
Defensive Metrics
- Exeter City: Concede 1.39 goals per match.
- Stockport County: Concede only 0.9 goals per match.
Prediction and Conclusion
Based on the data, Stockport County is favored to win, given their superior defensive and offensive statistics. Key factors include their ability to maintain a solid defense and capitalize on scoring opportunities.
Final Score Prediction
Stockport County 2 - 1 Exeter City
Half Time Score Prediction
Stockport County 1 - 0 Exeter City
Match-Winning Factors
- Stockport County's Defense: Their ability to limit Exeter's scoring chances.
- Louie Barry's Form: His goal-scoring ability could be decisive.
In conclusion, Stockport County's balanced approach and strong form make them the likely victors in this League 1 clash.