Match Overview
The clash between Newell's Old Boys and Belgrano is a pivotal fixture in the Argentine Primera División, with both teams looking to gain momentum in the league. Newell's Old Boys, playing at home, will be eager to capitalize on their home advantage, while Belgrano will aim to secure valuable away points.
Odds Analysis
The average odds for this match are as follows: Newell's Old Boys at 2.32, Draw at 3.05, and Belgrano at 3.06. These odds suggest a closely contested match, with Newell's Old Boys slightly favored to win. The probability of a home win stands at approximately 43.1%, a draw at 32.8%, and an away win at 32.7%. Based on these odds, Newell's Old Boys are expected to have a slight edge, but a draw or a Belgrano victory cannot be ruled out.
Team Analysis
Newell's Old Boys
- Current Form: Newell's Old Boys have struggled offensively, averaging only 0.29 goals per match this season. Their defense has been more reliable, conceding 1.57 goals per game.
- Strengths: High possession rate (56.86%) and strong passing accuracy with 345.29 successful passes per match.
- Weaknesses: Low goal-scoring rate and vulnerability to conceding goals.
Belgrano
- Current Form: Belgrano have shown better offensive capabilities, averaging 0.86 goals per match. However, they concede 1.86 goals per game, indicating defensive frailties.
- Strengths: Effective dribbling with 11 successful dribbles per match and a higher expected goals (xG) of 1.32.
- Weaknesses: Lower possession (48.86%) and passing accuracy compared to Newell's Old Boys.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Historically, Newell's Old Boys have had the upper hand in head-to-head encounters, but recent form suggests a more balanced contest.
Tactical Approaches
Newell's Old Boys are likely to focus on maintaining possession and controlling the midfield, while Belgrano may adopt a counter-attacking strategy, leveraging their dribbling skills and xG advantage.
Key Players Spotlight
Newell's Old Boys
- Saúl Salcedo: A defensive stalwart with 242.53 points this season.
- Éver Banega: A key playmaker with 163.32 points and 1 goal.
Belgrano
- Nicolás Fernández: Top scorer with 3 goals and 150.87 points.
- Tobias Ostchega: A consistent performer with 192.41 points.
Statistical Deep Dive
- Offensive Metrics: Belgrano leads in goals per match (0.86 vs 0.29) and xG (1.32 vs 1.04).
- Defensive Metrics: Newell's Old Boys have a slight edge in defensive stability with fewer goals conceded (1.57 vs 1.86).
- Possession and Passing: Newell's Old Boys dominate possession and passing accuracy, which could be crucial in controlling the game's tempo.
Prediction and Conclusion
Based on the statistical analysis and current form, Newell's Old Boys are slightly favored to win, but Belgrano's offensive threat cannot be underestimated. Key match-winning factors include Newell's possession play and Belgrano's counter-attacking potential. The final score prediction is a narrow 1-0 victory for Newell's Old Boys, with a potential half-time score of 0-0. The probability for both teams to score is relatively low, and the likelihood of over 2.5 goals is moderate.