MATCH OVERVIEW
Wolfsberger AC and Ried are set to face off in a crucial Austrian Football Bundesliga match that could significantly impact their standings this season. Wolfsberger AC, currently enjoying a solid run, will be keen to capitalize on their home advantage at the Lavanttal-Arena. Meanwhile, Ried, who have shown resilience in their away games, will aim to disrupt Wolfsberger's momentum and secure valuable points.
ODDS ANALYSIS
The average odds for this match suggest Wolfsberger AC as the favorites with odds of 1.74, indicating a 57.47% probability of a home win. The draw is priced at 3.63, translating to a 27.55% chance, while Ried's odds of 4.18 suggest a 23.92% probability of an away victory. Based on these odds, Wolfsberger AC is expected to dominate, but Ried's potential for an upset should not be underestimated.
TEAM ANALYSIS
Wolfsberger AC
Wolfsberger AC has been impressive this season, with an average of 1.78 goals per match and a possession rate of 50.44%. Their offensive capabilities are highlighted by their 10.89 shots per game and a successful dribble rate of 68.75%. Defensively, they concede an average of 1 goal per match, supported by 45.22 interceptions.
Ried
Ried, on the other hand, averages 1.33 goals per match with a possession rate of 47.89%. Their defense has been slightly more vulnerable, conceding 1.33 goals per game. However, their ability to win duels (47.55%) and make successful tackles (4 per game) could be crucial in countering Wolfsberger's attacks.
Head-to-Head
Historically, Wolfsberger AC has had the upper hand in this fixture, often leveraging their home advantage. However, Ried's recent form suggests they could pose a significant challenge.
KEY PLAYERS SPOTLIGHT
Wolfsberger AC
- Markus Pink: Leading the scoring charts with 6 goals, Pink's form will be pivotal for Wolfsberger's attacking strategy.
- Dejan Zukic: With 3 goals and a strong midfield presence, Zukic is crucial in both creating and finishing chances.
Ried
- Mark Grosse: With 3 goals this season, Grosse's ability to find the net will be vital for Ried's chances.
- Andreas Leitner: His defensive prowess and 237.87 points make him a key figure in Ried's backline.
STATISTICAL DEEP DIVE
Offensive Metrics
- Wolfsberger AC averages 1.78 goals per game, with an expected goals (xG) of 1.36.
- Ried's xG stands at 1.46, indicating their potential to score despite averaging fewer goals.
Defensive Metrics
- Wolfsberger AC's expected goals against (xGA) is 1.1, showcasing their solid defensive structure.
- Ried's xGA of 1.52 suggests vulnerabilities that Wolfsberger could exploit.
PREDICTION AND CONCLUSION
Based on the data, Wolfsberger AC is likely to secure a victory, leveraging their home advantage and superior offensive metrics. Key factors include their ability to maintain possession and capitalize on scoring opportunities. Ried's resilience and potential for counter-attacks could make the match competitive.
Final Score Prediction
Wolfsberger AC 2-1 Ried
Half Time Score Prediction
Wolfsberger AC 1-0 Ried
Both Teams to Score Probability
60%
Over 2.5 Goals Probability
55%
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