MATCH OVERVIEW
Ceará and Atlético Mineiro are gearing up for a pivotal Brazil Série A match that promises to be a thrilling contest. Scheduled to take place at Ceará's home ground, the match is set for June 1, 2025, at 21:30 UTC. Both teams are eager to improve their standings in the league, making this clash significant in the context of the current season.
ODDS ANALYSIS
The average odds for this match suggest a closely contested battle, with Atlético Mineiro slightly favored to win. The odds are as follows:
- Ceará: 2.86
- Draw: 3.14
- Atlético Mineiro: 2.41
These odds translate to probabilities of approximately 34.97% for a Ceará win, 31.85% for a draw, and 41.49% for an Atlético Mineiro victory. Given these figures, Atlético Mineiro is expected to have a slight edge, but the match could swing either way.
TEAM ANALYSIS
Ceará
Ceará's current form shows a mixed bag of results, with an average of 9 matches played this season. They have a modest goal-scoring record, averaging 1.22 goals per match, and their possession stats stand at 40.22%. Their defense has been relatively solid, conceding only 0.78 goals per game.
Atlético Mineiro
Atlético Mineiro has been more consistent, with a higher possession rate of 58.11% and an average of 1.11 goals per match. Their offensive capabilities are highlighted by their 17.89 shots per game, with 6 on target. Defensively, they concede 1.11 goals per match, indicating room for improvement.
Head-to-Head
Historically, Atlético Mineiro has had the upper hand in this fixture, but Ceará's home advantage could play a crucial role in leveling the playing field.
KEY PLAYERS SPOTLIGHT
Ceará
- Pedro Raul: With 4 goals this season, he is Ceará's top scorer and a key player to watch.
- Matheus Bahia: His performance rating of 210.05 points makes him a vital asset in both defense and attack.
Atlético Mineiro
- Everson: Leading with 230.77 points, his goalkeeping skills will be crucial in keeping Ceará at bay.
- Lyanco: A strong defensive presence with 226.13 points, he will be pivotal in Atlético Mineiro's backline.
STATISTICAL DEEP DIVE
Offensive Metrics
- Ceará averages 9.78 shots per game, while Atlético Mineiro boasts 17.89 shots, indicating a more aggressive approach.
- Atlético Mineiro's expected goals (xG) of 1.79 surpass Ceará's 0.97, suggesting a higher likelihood of scoring.
Defensive Metrics
- Ceará's defense is slightly more robust, conceding 0.78 goals compared to Atlético Mineiro's 1.11.
- Atlético Mineiro's interceptions are lower at 33 compared to Ceará's 44.56, which could be a factor in disrupting play.
PREDICTION AND CONCLUSION
Based on the data, Atlético Mineiro appears to have a slight advantage due to their superior possession and offensive metrics. However, Ceará's solid defense and home advantage could make this a tightly contested match.
Potential Match-Winning Factors
- Ceará's Defense: Their ability to limit goals could be crucial.
- Atlético Mineiro's Attack: Their high shot count and xG could lead to goals.
Final Score Prediction
Given the analysis, a 1-1 draw seems plausible, with both teams having the potential to score.
Half Time Score Prediction
A 0-0 scoreline at halftime is likely, considering both teams' defensive strengths.
Probability Insights
- Home Win: 34.97%
- Away Win: 41.49%
- Draw: 31.85%
- Both Teams to Score: 44.44%
- Over 2.5 Goals: 38.89%