MATCH OVERVIEW
Vasco da Gama will host Sport Recife in a Brazil Série A match that could set the tone for their respective campaigns. Scheduled for April 13, 2025, at the Estádio São Januário, this fixture is pivotal for Vasco da Gama, who are looking to leverage their home advantage and impressive attacking statistics. Sport Recife, on the other hand, will aim to tighten their defense and counter Vasco's offensive threats.
ODDS ANALYSIS
The average odds favor Vasco da Gama with a 1.77 chance of winning, translating to a probability of approximately 56.5%. The draw is priced at 3.37, offering a 29.7% chance, while Sport Recife's odds of 4.16 suggest a 24% probability of an away victory. Given these odds, Vasco da Gama is expected to dominate, but Sport Recife's potential for a surprise result should not be underestimated.
TEAM ANALYSIS
Vasco da Gama
- Current Form: Vasco da Gama has shown strong offensive capabilities, averaging 2 goals per match and maintaining a 100% rate in both Over 2.5 Goals and Both Teams To Score.
- Strengths: High possession (53%), effective dribbling (15 successful dribbles), and solid passing accuracy (406 successful passes).
- Weaknesses: Vulnerable to conceding goals, with an Expected Goals Against of 1.3.
Sport Recife
- Current Form: Sport Recife has struggled offensively, averaging 0 goals per match and failing to score in their last outing.
- Strengths: Defensive resilience, with 36 interceptions and a high CompaScore Defensive Rating of 476.42.
- Weaknesses: Low possession (39%) and limited offensive threat, with only 1 shot on target per match.
Head-to-Head
Historically, Vasco da Gama has had the upper hand in this fixture, often utilizing their home advantage to secure victories.
KEY PLAYERS SPOTLIGHT
Vasco da Gama
- Pablo Vegetti: A key goal scorer with 1 goal this season, contributing significantly to Vasco's attacking prowess.
- Nuno Moreira: Another vital player with 1 goal, known for his creative play and ability to unlock defenses.
Sport Recife
- Caíque França: A standout performer with 355.23 points, crucial for Sport Recife's defensive setup.
- Chico: With 245.62 points, he plays a pivotal role in midfield, aiming to disrupt Vasco's rhythm.
STATISTICAL DEEP DIVE
- Offensive Metrics: Vasco da Gama averages 11 shots per match, with 5 on target, showcasing their attacking intent.
- Defensive Metrics: Sport Recife's 36 interceptions highlight their defensive focus, but they need to improve their goal-scoring capabilities.
- Possession and Passing: Vasco's 471 passes per match indicate their control over the game, while Sport Recife's 273 passes suggest a more reactive approach.
PREDICTION AND CONCLUSION
Vasco da Gama is likely to dominate this match, given their superior offensive statistics and home advantage. Sport Recife's defensive strengths may keep the scoreline respectable, but Vasco's attacking depth should prevail.
- Potential Match-Winning Factors: Vasco's high possession and goal-scoring ability.
- Final Score Prediction: 2-0 in favor of Vasco da Gama.
- Half Time Score Prediction: 1-0 in favor of Vasco da Gama.
- Probability for Both Teams to Score: 60%
- Probability for Over 2.5 Goals: 70%