MATCH OVERVIEW
The Brazil Série B match between Amazonas and Avaí is set to be a captivating contest, with both teams eager to secure a victory that could significantly impact their standings in the league. Amazonas, playing at home, will aim to capitalize on their familiarity with the venue, while Avaí will strive to overcome the odds and claim an away win.
ODDS ANALYSIS
The average odds for this match suggest a closely contested battle, with Amazonas slightly favored at 2.38, indicating a 42% probability of a home win. The draw is priced at 2.92, reflecting a 34% chance, while Avaí's odds of 3.22 suggest a 31% probability of an away victory. These odds imply a competitive match, with Amazonas having a slight edge.
TEAM ANALYSIS
Amazonas
Amazonas have shown resilience in their defensive play, conceding only 0.5 goals per match and maintaining a strong possession rate of 62%. However, their offensive output has been lacking, with an average of 0 goals per game and a low expected goals figure of 1.09. Their ability to control the game through successful passes (333 per match) and duels (199.5 per match) will be crucial.
Avaí
Avaí have demonstrated a more balanced approach, scoring 1.33 goals per match and conceding 1. Their possession rate of 52% and successful passes (355 per match) indicate a solid midfield presence. Avaí's higher expected goals against (1.12) suggests potential vulnerabilities in defense, which Amazonas might exploit.
Head-to-Head
Historically, these teams have had competitive encounters, with Amazonas often relying on their defensive solidity, while Avaí's attacking prowess has been a key factor in their previous meetings.
KEY PLAYERS SPOTLIGHT
Amazonas
- Alyson: Leading the team with 141.82 points, Alyson's defensive contributions will be vital.
- Fabiano: With 121.38 points, Fabiano's midfield control can dictate the pace of the game.
Avaí
- Jonathan Costa: Top performer with 171.7 points, Costa's attacking threat is significant.
- Marcos Vinícius: His 157.04 points highlight his ability to influence the game from midfield.
Key Matchups
The battle between Alyson and Jonathan Costa will be pivotal, as both players look to assert their influence on the match.
STATISTICAL DEEP DIVE
Offensive Metrics
- Amazonas: Average 11.5 shots per game, with 4.5 on target.
- Avaí: Average 10.33 shots per game, with 2.67 on target.
Defensive Metrics
- Amazonas: Strong in interceptions (31 per match) and clearances (7 per match).
- Avaí: Effective in interceptions (45.33 per match) but weaker in clearances (4.67 per match).
Possession and Passing
- Amazonas: 62% possession, 333 successful passes.
- Avaí: 52% possession, 355 successful passes.
PREDICTION AND CONCLUSION
Based on the data, Amazonas' defensive strength and home advantage give them a slight edge. However, Avaí's balanced attack and midfield presence could challenge Amazonas' defense.
Potential Match-Winning Factors
- Amazonas' ability to maintain possession and control the tempo.
- Avaí's attacking threats and ability to exploit defensive gaps.
Final Score Prediction
Amazonas 1-1 Avaí
Half Time Score Prediction
Amazonas 0-0 Avaí
Probability Insights
- Home Win: 42%
- Away Win: 31%
- Draw: 34%
- Both Teams to Score: 50%
- Over 2.5 Goals: 40%