MATCH OVERVIEW
Grêmio Novorizontino will host Athletico Paranaense in a pivotal Brazil Série B match that could shape the trajectory of their season. With both teams eager to climb the league table, this encounter at Estádio Jorge Ismael de Biasi is set to be a high-stakes affair. Scheduled for April 25, 2025, at 00:35 UTC, the match is crucial for both sides as they aim to secure valuable points.
ODDS ANALYSIS
The average odds for this match suggest a closely contested battle, with Grêmio Novorizontino slightly favored at 2.41, while both the draw and Athletico Paranaense are priced at 3.07. This indicates a 41.5% probability for a home win, a 32.6% chance for a draw, and a 32.6% likelihood for an away victory. The odds reflect the competitive nature of the match, with Grêmio Novorizontino having a slight edge.
TEAM ANALYSIS
Grêmio Novorizontino
Grêmio Novorizontino's season has been marked by solid defensive performances, conceding only 0.5 goals per match. Their possession rate stands at 51%, allowing them to control the tempo of games. However, their offensive output has been modest, averaging 0.75 goals per match, which could be a concern against a more prolific Athletico Paranaense.
Athletico Paranaense
Athletico Paranaense boasts a stronger attacking record, averaging 1.75 goals per match. Their offensive prowess is complemented by a high CompaScore Offensive Rating of 364.55. Despite a lower possession rate of 47.5%, they have been effective in converting chances, as evidenced by their 75% Over 2.5 Goals Percentage.
Head-to-Head
Historically, matches between these two teams have been tightly contested, with neither side dominating. This trend is likely to continue given their current form and statistical profiles.
KEY PLAYERS SPOTLIGHT
Grêmio Novorizontino
- Rafael Donato: Leading the team with 140.05 points, his defensive contributions are vital.
- Robson: With 1 goal this season, he will be key in breaking Athletico's defense.
Athletico Paranaense
- Alan Kardec: Top scorer with 2 goals, his form will be crucial for Athletico's attack.
- Luiz Fernando: His 112.64 points highlight his influence in midfield.
STATISTICAL DEEP DIVE
- Grêmio Novorizontino: Strong in duels with 180.25 average, but need to improve their goal-scoring rate.
- Athletico Paranaense: Superior in offensive metrics, with 1.75 goals and 4.5 shots on target per match.
- Defensive Comparison: Grêmio Novorizontino's defense is slightly more robust, conceding fewer goals.
PREDICTION AND CONCLUSION
Based on the data, Grêmio Novorizontino's defensive solidity gives them a slight edge, but Athletico Paranaense's attacking capabilities cannot be underestimated. The match-winning factors will likely hinge on Grêmio's ability to contain Athletico's forwards and capitalize on their possession advantage.
Final Score Prediction: Grêmio Novorizontino 1-1 Athletico Paranaense Half Time Score Prediction: Grêmio Novorizontino 0-0 Athletico Paranaense Both Teams To Score Probability: 60% Over 2.5 Goals Probability: 40%