MATCH OVERVIEW
The upcoming Brazil Série B match between Paysandu and Chapecoense is set to be a captivating clash, with both teams eager to make their mark in the league. Paysandu, playing at home, will look to utilize their attacking capabilities, having scored an average of 1 goal per match this season. Chapecoense, on the other hand, will rely on their solid defensive record, conceding only 1 goal on average. The match will take place at Estádio da Curuzu, with kickoff scheduled for 23:00 on April 16, 2025.
ODDS ANALYSIS
The average odds for this match suggest a slight advantage for Paysandu, with odds of 1.79 for a home win. The probability of a draw stands at 3.5, while an away win for Chapecoense is priced at 4.56. These odds indicate a 55.9% chance of Paysandu winning, a 28.6% chance of a draw, and a 21.9% chance of Chapecoense securing a victory. Based on these figures, Paysandu is expected to have the upper hand, but Chapecoense's defensive resilience could lead to a closely contested match.
TEAM ANALYSIS
Paysandu has shown a strong attacking form, with a 100% success rate in both scoring over 2.5 goals and having both teams score in their matches. Their possession rate stands at 50%, with an average of 12 shots per game, indicating a proactive approach. However, their defense has been vulnerable, conceding 2 goals on average.
Chapecoense, contrastingly, has not scored in their matches but maintains a high possession rate of 65%. Their defensive statistics are impressive, with only 1 goal conceded on average and 7 goalkeeper saves per match. Their passing accuracy is notable, with 488 successful passes per game, suggesting a strategic, possession-based approach.
KEY PLAYERS SPOTLIGHT
For Paysandu, Leandro Vilela has been a standout performer, scoring 1 goal and accumulating 164.66 points this season. Rossi and Yeferson Quintana also contribute significantly to the team's offensive efforts.
Chapecoense's Léo Vieira leads the charge with 344.23 points, supported by Walter Clar and Bruno Leonardo, who bolster the team's defensive and midfield capabilities.
STATISTICAL DEEP DIVE
Paysandu's offensive metrics show a high number of shots (12 per game) but a low conversion rate, with only 2 shots on target. Their expected goals (xG) stand at 0.71, indicating room for improvement in finishing.
Chapecoense's defensive metrics are robust, with 7 saves and 7 clearances per match. Their expected goals against (xGA) is 1.87, suggesting they face significant attacking pressure but manage to hold their ground effectively.
PREDICTION AND CONCLUSION
Considering the statistical data and odds, Paysandu is likely to dominate possession and create more scoring opportunities. However, Chapecoense's defensive strength could lead to a tightly contested match. The key to victory for Paysandu will be converting their chances, while Chapecoense must capitalize on counter-attacks.
Final Score Prediction: Paysandu 2-1 Chapecoense Half Time Score Prediction: Paysandu 1-0 Chapecoense Both Teams to Score Probability: 70% Over 2.5 Goals Probability: 60%