MATCH OVERVIEW
Everton and Unión La Calera are set to face off in a pivotal Primera División match that could shape the trajectory of their season. Everton, playing at home, will look to leverage their familiarity with the venue to secure a win against Unión La Calera, who have shown resilience in away games. The match, taking place at 16:30 GMT on April 20, 2025, is crucial for both teams as they aim to climb the league table.
ODDS ANALYSIS
The average odds for this match suggest a competitive game, with Everton slightly favored at 2.11, indicating a 47.39% probability of winning. Unión La Calera's odds stand at 3.47, translating to a 28.82% chance of victory, while the draw is priced at 3.21, offering a 31.15% probability. These odds reflect the balanced nature of the contest, with Everton's home advantage playing a role in their slight favoritism.
TEAM ANALYSIS
Everton
Everton's current form shows a team that is defensively solid but struggles offensively, averaging 0.71 goals per match. Their possession rate of 52.29% indicates a team that can control the game but needs to convert possession into goals. Key strengths include their duels and successful passes, with a CompaScore Offensive Rating of 365.29.
Unión La Calera
Unión La Calera has been more prolific in front of goal, averaging 1.29 goals per match. Their defensive solidity is highlighted by conceding only 0.86 goals per game. With a higher CompaScore Offensive Rating of 390.29, they pose a significant threat to Everton's defense.
Head-to-Head
Historically, matches between these two teams have been closely contested, with neither side dominating. Everton's home advantage could be crucial, but Unión La Calera's recent form suggests they are capable of challenging for points.
KEY PLAYERS SPOTLIGHT
Everton
- Ignacio González: A key player with 125.09 points this season, his defensive contributions will be vital.
- Alan Medina: With 113.34 points and a goal to his name, Medina's creativity could unlock Unión La Calera's defense.
Unión La Calera
- Sebastián Sáez: Leading the scoring charts with 4 goals, Sáez is a constant threat in the attacking third.
- Cristian Insaurralde: His 132.87 points and 2 goals make him a crucial player in Unión La Calera's offensive setup.
STATISTICAL DEEP DIVE
Offensive Metrics
- Everton: Average 12.86 shots per game, with 3.57 on target.
- Unión La Calera: Average 10.71 shots per game, with 3.57 on target.
Defensive Metrics
- Everton: Concede 1.57 goals per game, with a CompaScore Defensive Rating of 239.84.
- Unión La Calera: Concede 0.86 goals per game, with a CompaScore Defensive Rating of 233.29.
Possession and Passing
- Everton: Successful passes average 333 per game.
- Unión La Calera: Successful passes average 372.71 per game.
PREDICTION AND CONCLUSION
Based on the data, Everton's home advantage and defensive capabilities could be pivotal, but Unión La Calera's attacking prowess cannot be underestimated. The match-winning factors will likely hinge on Everton's ability to convert possession into goals and Unión La Calera's efficiency in front of goal.
Final Score Prediction
- Everton 1-1 Unión La Calera
Key Points Summary
- Everton's home advantage and defensive solidity.
- Unión La Calera's superior goal-scoring record.
- Balanced odds reflecting a closely contested match.