Match Overview
The upcoming clash between Changchun Yatai and Henan in the Super League - China is a pivotal fixture for both teams. As the season progresses, every point becomes crucial in the race for league positions. Changchun Yatai, playing at home, will look to leverage their familiarity with the venue to gain an advantage over Henan.
Odds Analysis
The average odds for this match suggest a closely contested affair, with Henan slightly favored to win. The odds are as follows:
- Home Win: 2.91
- Draw: 3.23
- Away Win: 2.34
These odds translate to probabilities of approximately 34.4% for a home win, 30.9% for a draw, and 42.7% for an away win. Henan's slight edge in the odds reflects their stronger form and higher goal-scoring ability this season.
Team Analysis
Changchun Yatai
- Current Form: Averaging 11 matches this season, Changchun Yatai has struggled with consistency, particularly in defense, conceding an average of 2 goals per game.
- Strengths: Their dribbling ability stands out, with 15.55 dribbles per match and a success rate of 11.09.
- Weaknesses: Defensive vulnerabilities are evident, with an expected goals against of 2.32.
Henan
- Current Form: Henan has played 10 matches, showing a more balanced approach with 1.4 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per game.
- Strengths: Offensive prowess is notable, with 11.1 shots per game and a higher expected goals of 1.73.
- Weaknesses: Defensive solidity is a concern, with 1.8 goals conceded per match.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Historically, these teams have had competitive encounters, with Henan often edging out Changchun Yatai in recent meetings. Tactical adjustments will be crucial for Changchun Yatai to counter Henan's attacking threats.
Tactical Approaches
Changchun Yatai may focus on tightening their defense and utilizing their dribbling skills to create opportunities. Henan, on the other hand, will likely emphasize their attacking strengths, aiming to exploit Changchun Yatai's defensive lapses.
Key Players Spotlight
Changchun Yatai
- Long Tan: With 5 goals this season, Tan is a key figure in Changchun's attack.
- L. Rosić: His defensive contributions are vital, with a season rating of 71.4 points.
Henan
- Iago Maidana: Leading the scoring charts with 4 goals, Maidana is a crucial player for Henan.
- Bruno Nazário: His creative playmaking, reflected in 61.25 points, adds depth to Henan's midfield.
Statistical Deep Dive
Offensive Metrics
- Changchun Yatai: Averaging 8.55 shots per game, with 3.18 on target.
- Henan: More aggressive with 11.1 shots per game, 4 on target.
Defensive Metrics
- Changchun Yatai: Conceding 2 goals per game, with 49.55 interceptions.
- Henan: Slightly better at 1.8 goals conceded, but fewer interceptions at 36.6.
Prediction and Conclusion
Based on the data, Henan appears to have the upper hand, particularly in offensive capabilities. Key match-winning factors include Henan's ability to capitalize on scoring opportunities and Changchun Yatai's need to fortify their defense.
Final Score Prediction
Henan is likely to secure a victory, with a predicted scoreline of 2-1. Changchun Yatai's home advantage may help them score, but Henan's attacking strength should prevail.