Match Overview
The upcoming clash between Meizhou Hakka and Henan in the Super League - China is a pivotal match for both teams. With Meizhou Hakka playing at home, they will look to leverage their home advantage against a Henan side that has shown resilience in their opening matches. The match is scheduled for March 1, 2025, at 11:35 AM UTC, and will be a crucial fixture in the early season standings.
Odds Analysis
The average odds for this match are as follows: Meizhou Hakka at 3.09, Draw at 3.42, and Henan at 2.15. These odds suggest a 32.4% probability for a Meizhou Hakka win, a 29.2% chance for a draw, and a 46.5% likelihood of a Henan victory. Based on these odds, Henan is favored to win, but the close odds indicate a competitive match.
Team Analysis
Meizhou Hakka
- Current Form: Meizhou Hakka has shown a strong offensive presence with an average of 2 goals per match and a 100% rate in both Over 2.5 Goals and Both Teams To Score.
- Strengths: High dribble success rate (16 successful dribbles per match) and effective crossing (6 successful crosses per match).
- Weaknesses: Defensive vulnerabilities with an average of 2 goals conceded per match and a high Expected Goals Against of 5.66.
Henan
- Current Form: Henan has been defensively solid, conceding 0 goals on average, but has struggled offensively with 0 goals scored.
- Strengths: Strong passing game with 319 successful passes per match and a high possession rate of 48%.
- Weaknesses: Lack of offensive output with no goals scored and a low number of successful tackles (1 per match).
Head-to-Head
Historically, matches between Meizhou Hakka and Henan have been closely contested, with both teams having their share of victories. The tactical approach will be crucial, with Meizhou Hakka likely to focus on exploiting Henan's defensive gaps, while Henan will aim to control possession and capitalize on counter-attacks.
Key Players Spotlight
- Meizhou Hakka: Quanbo Guo has been a standout performer with 183.04 points, while Junjian Liao and Yun Liu have each scored 1 goal this season.
- Henan: Guoming Wang leads with 88.65 points, and Bruno Nazário has been influential with 79.27 points.
- Matchup: The battle between Meizhou's dribblers and Henan's defenders will be key, with Meizhou's offensive players looking to break through Henan's solid backline.
Statistical Deep Dive
- Offensive Metrics: Meizhou Hakka averages 12 shots per match with 3 on target, while Henan averages 13 shots with 4 on target.
- Defensive Metrics: Meizhou's defense is tested with 72 interceptions per match, whereas Henan's defense is more disciplined with only 57 interceptions.
- Possession and Passing: Henan's superior passing accuracy and possession (48%) could give them an edge in controlling the game's tempo.
Prediction and Conclusion
Based on the statistical analysis and current form, Henan is slightly favored to win this match. However, Meizhou Hakka's offensive capabilities and home advantage could play a significant role. Key factors will include Meizhou's ability to convert chances and Henan's defensive resilience.
Final Score Prediction: Meizhou Hakka 1-2 Henan Half Time Score Prediction: Meizhou Hakka 0-1 Henan Both Teams to Score Probability: 70% Over 2.5 Goals Probability: 60%