MATCH OVERVIEW
The upcoming Championship match between Hull City and Derby County is set to be a pivotal clash as both teams aim to secure their positions in the league table. Hull City, playing at home, will look to leverage their familiarity with the KCOM Stadium to gain an advantage over Derby County. With the season drawing to a close, every point is crucial, making this encounter significant for both sides.
ODDS ANALYSIS
The average odds for this match suggest a competitive game, with Hull City slightly favored at 2.39, indicating a 41.8% probability of winning. The odds for a draw stand at 3.04, translating to a 32.9% chance, while Derby County's odds are 3.13, giving them a 31.9% probability of victory. These figures suggest a closely contested match, with Hull City having a slight edge.
TEAM ANALYSIS
Hull City
Hull City has shown a mixed form this season, with an average of 44 matches played. Their offensive capabilities are highlighted by an average of 0.98 goals per game and a possession rate of 51.39%. However, their defense has been a concern, conceding 1.18 goals per match. Hull City's strengths lie in their dribbling skills, averaging 22.18 dribbles per game, with a success rate of 16.8.
Derby County
Derby County has also played 44 matches this season, with a slightly better goal average of 1.07 per game. Their possession rate is lower at 44.09%, which might affect their control in the midfield. Derby's defense has been slightly more robust, conceding 1.27 goals per match. Their ability to win duels, averaging 220.89 per game, could be a key factor in this match.
Head-to-Head
Historically, matches between Hull City and Derby County have been evenly matched, with both teams having their share of victories. This season, Hull City's home advantage could play a crucial role, but Derby's resilience and tactical approach might counteract this.
KEY PLAYERS SPOTLIGHT
Hull City
- João Pedro: With 6 goals this season, Pedro is a key offensive player for Hull City.
- Mohamed Belloumi: Leading in points with 249.68, Belloumi's performance will be vital.
Derby County
- Jerry Yates: Derby's top scorer with 10 goals, Yates will be a significant threat.
- Matt Clarke: With 196.49 points, Clarke's defensive skills are crucial for Derby.
STATISTICAL DEEP DIVE
Offensive Metrics
- Hull City averages 10.16 shots per game, with 3.61 on target.
- Derby County averages 8.73 shots per game, with 3.11 on target.
Defensive Metrics
- Hull City averages 38.89 interceptions per game.
- Derby County averages 40.66 interceptions per game.
Possession and Passing
- Hull City has a higher possession rate at 51.39% compared to Derby's 44.09%.
- Hull City's passing accuracy is notable, with 368.23 successful passes per game.
PREDICTION AND CONCLUSION
Based on the data, Hull City appears to have a slight edge due to their home advantage and better possession statistics. However, Derby County's ability to score and their defensive resilience could lead to a tightly contested match. The key factors will be Hull City's ability to capitalize on their dribbling and possession, while Derby needs to leverage their scoring capabilities.
Final Score Prediction
Hull City 1-1 Derby County
Half Time Score Prediction
Hull City 0-0 Derby County
Probability Insights
- Home Win: 41.8%
- Away Win: 31.9%
- Draw: 32.9%
- Both Teams to Score: 50%
- Over 2.5 Goals: 36%