Plymouth Argyle vs Derby County - Free AI Predictions, Betting Tips & Odds

AI predicts Plymouth Argyle vs Derby County score, BTTS & O/U odds. See how Nikola Katic and Eiran Cashin makes a difference. Chat with AI. Free betting tips bot.

Match Information

Date 15/03/2025
Time 15:00:00
Tournament Championship
Plymouth Argyle Plymouth Argyle
Derby County Derby County

Predictions.GG AI Predictions

HOME 37.5 Confidence Level (%)
DRAW 31 Confidence Level (%)
AWAY 40.7 Confidence Level (%)
Predicted Score 1-1
Half-Time Score 0-0

Best Players - Plymouth Argyle

  • Nikola Katic AI Points: 290.89
  • Maksym Taloverov AI Points: 196.53
  • Lewis Gibson AI Points: 172.6
  • Adam Randell AI Points: 143.04
  • Conor Hazard AI Points: 140.5

Best Players - Derby County

  • Eiran Cashin AI Points: 192.34
  • Ebou Adams AI Points: 184.66
  • Matt Clarke AI Points: 184.23
  • Curtis Nelson AI Points: 153.26
  • David Ozoh AI Points: 149.07

Emma Thornfield

🎙️ Football podcast host | 🔴 Arsenal till I die | 📻 Broadcasting from Islington | Collecting vintage programme covers since '98

Published at 15/05/2025

Match Overview

Plymouth Argyle and Derby County face off in a pivotal Championship match that could significantly impact their standings. With the season nearing its end, every point counts, and both teams will be eager to secure a victory at Home Park.

Odds Analysis

The average odds suggest a closely contested match, with Plymouth Argyle slightly favored at 2.57, while Derby County stands at 2.41. The draw is priced at 3.11, indicating a competitive game. The probabilities are:

  • Home Win: 38.91%
  • Away Win: 41.49%
  • Draw: 32.15%

Team Analysis

Plymouth Argyle

  • Current Form: Plymouth has played 36 matches, with a mixed record in terms of goals and defensive stability.
  • Strengths: High dribble success rate (71.5%) and solid interception numbers (42.61 per match).
  • Weaknesses: Conceding 2.03 goals per match, indicating defensive vulnerabilities.

Derby County

  • Current Form: Derby has also played 36 matches, showing a slightly better defensive record.
  • Strengths: Strong offensive metrics with 1.22 expected goals per match and effective crossing.
  • Weaknesses: Lower possession rate (44.94%) could be a disadvantage.

Head-to-Head

Historically, these teams have had closely fought encounters, with Derby County often edging out Plymouth in recent meetings.

Tactical Approaches

Plymouth may focus on exploiting their dribbling and interception strengths, while Derby County could leverage their crossing ability and expected goals advantage.

Key Players Spotlight

Plymouth Argyle

  • Ryan Hardie: Top scorer with 5 goals, crucial for Plymouth's attacking play.
  • Nikola Katic: Defensive stalwart with 284.63 points.

Derby County

  • Jerry Yates: Leading scorer with 7 goals, pivotal in Derby's offensive strategy.
  • Eiran Cashin: Key defensive player with 192.34 points.

Statistical Deep Dive

  • Offensive Metrics: Plymouth averages 1 goal per match, while Derby averages 0.97.
  • Defensive Metrics: Derby concedes fewer goals (1.36) compared to Plymouth (2.03).
  • Possession: Plymouth holds a slight edge in possession (47.06%).

Prediction and Conclusion

Based on the data, Derby County appears to have a slight edge due to their better defensive record and offensive capabilities. However, Plymouth's home advantage and dribbling prowess could play a crucial role.

  • Potential Match-Winning Factors: Derby's crossing and expected goals, Plymouth's dribbling and interceptions.
  • Final Score Prediction: Plymouth Argyle 1-2 Derby County
  • Half Time Score Prediction: Plymouth Argyle 0-1 Derby County
  • Both Teams to Score Probability: 50%
  • Over 2.5 Goals Probability: 47.22%