MATCH OVERVIEW
Everton and Newcastle United are set to face off in a highly anticipated Premier League match at Goodison Park. Scheduled for November 29, 2025, at 17:30 GMT, this encounter is pivotal for both teams as they aim to solidify their positions in the league standings. Everton, currently struggling to find consistent form, will be looking to capitalize on their home advantage against a Newcastle side that has been impressive in their away performances.
ODDS ANALYSIS
The average odds for this match suggest a closely contested battle, with Newcastle United slightly favored to win at 2.29. Everton's odds stand at 2.92, while a draw is priced at 3.16. These odds translate to a 34.2% probability for an Everton win, a 31.6% chance for a draw, and a 43.8% likelihood of a Newcastle victory. Given Newcastle's recent form and Everton's home advantage, the odds indicate a competitive match with Newcastle having a slight edge.
TEAM ANALYSIS
Everton
Everton's season has been marked by inconsistency, with an average of 10 matches played, 40% of which have seen over 2.5 goals. Their possession rate stands at 45.5%, indicating a struggle to control games. Defensively, Everton concedes an average of 1.3 goals per match, with an expected goals against of 1.39. Offensively, they average 1 goal per game, relying heavily on Iliman Ndiaye, who has scored 4 goals this season.
Newcastle United
Newcastle United has shown a balanced approach, with a possession rate of 50.1% and an average of 1 goal per match. Their defensive solidity is highlighted by an average of 1.1 goals conceded per game and an expected goals against of 1.04. Offensively, Nick Woltemade has been a standout performer, netting 4 goals this season. Newcastle's ability to maintain possession and create chances makes them a formidable opponent.
KEY PLAYERS SPOTLIGHT
Everton
- Iliman Ndiaye: With 4 goals this season, Ndiaye is Everton's key attacking threat.
- Jack Grealish: Known for his creativity, Grealish has contributed significantly to Everton's midfield.
Newcastle United
- Nick Woltemade: Leading the scoring charts for Newcastle with 4 goals, Woltemade is crucial to their attacking play.
- Bruno Guimarães: A versatile midfielder, Guimarães has scored 3 goals and provides stability in the center.
STATISTICAL DEEP DIVE
Offensive and Defensive Metrics
- Everton: Average 10.1 shots per game with 3.1 on target. Their expected goals stand at 1.26.
- Newcastle United: Average 12 shots per game with 3.7 on target. Their expected goals are also 1.26.
Possession and Passing
- Everton: Average 365.3 passes per game with a success rate of 81.8%.
- Newcastle United: Average 423.6 passes per game with a success rate of 83.2%.
PREDICTION AND CONCLUSION
Based on the statistical analysis and current form, Newcastle United is slightly favored to win this match. Their ability to maintain possession and create scoring opportunities gives them an edge over Everton. However, Everton's home advantage and the presence of key players like Iliman Ndiaye could make this a closely contested affair.
Final Score Prediction
- Full Time: Everton 1-2 Newcastle United
- Half Time: Everton 0-1 Newcastle United
Match-Winning Factors
- Newcastle's superior possession and passing accuracy
- Everton's reliance on key players for goal-scoring opportunities
In conclusion, while Newcastle United is expected to edge out Everton, the match promises to be an exciting contest with both teams having the potential to secure a victory.
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