Match Overview
Bolton Wanderers and Stockport County face off in a League 1 match that holds significant implications for both teams. Bolton, currently in the mid-table, will look to leverage their home advantage to climb the standings, while Stockport aims to maintain their competitive edge and secure a top-half finish.
Odds Analysis
The average odds for this match are closely contested, with Bolton Wanderers at 2.54, a draw at 3.13, and Stockport County at 2.66. This suggests a balanced game, with Bolton having a slight edge due to their home advantage. The probability of a Bolton win stands at approximately 39.37%, a draw at 31.95%, and a Stockport victory at 37.59%.
Team Analysis
Bolton Wanderers
- Current Form: Bolton has shown a mixed form this season, with a strong offensive presence but vulnerabilities in defense.
- Strengths: High possession rate (54.64%), effective dribbling (14.94 successful dribbles), and consistent goal-scoring (1.64 goals per match).
- Weaknesses: Defensive lapses, conceding 1.5 goals per match, and susceptibility to dangerous own half losses (5.75).
Stockport County
- Current Form: Stockport has been defensively solid, conceding only 0.92 goals per match.
- Strengths: Strong defensive metrics, including interceptions (39.06) and clearances (6.92).
- Weaknesses: Lower offensive output compared to Bolton, with 1.44 goals per match.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Historically, Bolton and Stockport have had closely contested matches, with Bolton slightly edging in terms of victories. However, Stockport's recent form suggests they could challenge Bolton's dominance.
Tactical Approaches
Bolton is likely to focus on maintaining possession and exploiting their dribbling skills to break Stockport's defense. Stockport, on the other hand, will aim to capitalize on their defensive solidity and counter-attacking opportunities.
Key Players Spotlight
Bolton Wanderers
- Ricardo Santos: A defensive stalwart with 136.6 points, crucial for Bolton's backline.
- John McAtee: Leading goal scorer with 11 goals, pivotal in Bolton's attacking strategy.
Stockport County
- Louie Barry: Top scorer with 15 goals, a key threat to Bolton's defense.
- Brad Hills: Defensive anchor with 178.61 points, essential for Stockport's defensive setup.
Statistical Deep Dive
- Offensive Metrics: Bolton averages 11.47 shots per match, with 4.28 on target, while Stockport averages 11.75 shots, with 4.86 on target.
- Defensive Metrics: Bolton's expected goals against is 1.31, whereas Stockport's is significantly lower at 0.83.
- Possession and Passing: Bolton leads in possession (54.64%) and successful passes (344.92), while Stockport is slightly behind with 52% possession and 332.5 successful passes.
Prediction and Conclusion
Based on the data, Bolton's home advantage and offensive capabilities give them a slight edge. However, Stockport's defensive strength could lead to a tightly contested match.
- Potential Match-Winning Factors: Bolton's ability to convert possession into goals and Stockport's counter-attacking prowess.
- Final Score Prediction: Bolton Wanderers 2-1 Stockport County
- Half Time Score Prediction: Bolton Wanderers 1-0 Stockport County
- Probability for Both Teams to Score: 61.11%
- Probability for Over 2.5 Goals: 66.67%