MATCH OVERVIEW
The upcoming League 2 match between Newport County and Gillingham promises to be a thrilling encounter. Scheduled for March 4th, 2025, at 19:45 GMT, this match will be held at Rodney Parade, Newport's home ground. Both teams are in the midst of a competitive season, and this fixture could play a pivotal role in shaping their fortunes.
ODDS ANALYSIS
The average odds for this match suggest a competitive battle, with Gillingham slightly favored to win. The odds are set at 3.61 for a Newport County victory, 3.34 for a draw, and 2.07 for a Gillingham win. This translates to a probability of approximately 27.7% for Newport, 29.9% for a draw, and 48.3% for Gillingham. The odds indicate a higher likelihood of an away win, but Newport's home advantage could be a decisive factor.
TEAM ANALYSIS
Newport County
- Current Form & Statistics: Newport County has averaged 1.24 goals per match this season, with a possession rate of 48.42%. Their defense has been a concern, conceding 1.61 goals per game.
- Strengths & Weaknesses: Strong in duels (233.21 per match) and dribbles (19.27 per match), but their defense, with an expected goals against of 1.86, needs improvement.
- Head-to-Head: Historically, Newport has struggled against Gillingham, but their home form could provide an edge.
Gillingham
- Current Form & Statistics: Gillingham has scored an average of 0.85 goals per match, with a slightly better possession rate of 49.64%.
- Strengths & Weaknesses: They excel in duels (251.82 per match) and have a solid defensive record, conceding only 1.06 goals per game.
- Head-to-Head: Gillingham has had the upper hand in recent encounters, which could boost their confidence.
KEY PLAYERS SPOTLIGHT
Newport County
- Kyle Hudlin: Leading scorer with 6 goals, Hudlin will be crucial in breaking down Gillingham's defense.
- Nick Townsend: With 132.26 points, his performance in goal will be vital.
Gillingham
- Jayden Clarke: Top scorer with 7 goals, Clarke's form will be key to Gillingham's attacking threat.
- Andy Smith: A defensive stalwart with 142.97 points, Smith's leadership at the back is essential.
STATISTICAL DEEP DIVE
- Offensive Metrics: Newport averages 8.15 shots per game, while Gillingham averages 9.82, indicating a slight edge in attacking intent for the visitors.
- Defensive Metrics: Gillingham's defense is more robust, with fewer goals conceded and a lower expected goals against.
- Possession & Passing: Both teams have similar possession stats, but Gillingham's passing accuracy and successful crosses give them a slight advantage.
PREDICTION AND CONCLUSION
Based on the data, Gillingham appears to have a slight edge, particularly with their defensive solidity and recent form. However, Newport's home advantage and attacking potential cannot be underestimated. Key factors such as set-pieces and individual brilliance could sway the result.
Final Score Prediction: Newport County 1-2 Gillingham Half Time Score Prediction: Newport County 0-1 Gillingham Both Teams to Score Probability: 48.48% Over 2.5 Goals Probability: 60.61%