MATCH OVERVIEW
Newcastle United and Athletic Bilbao are set to clash in a crucial UEFA Champions League group stage match. Scheduled for November 5, 2025, at 20:00 GMT, this encounter at St. James' Park holds significant weight in determining the progression of both teams in the competition. Newcastle, known for their attacking prowess, will look to capitalize on their home advantage, while Bilbao aims to secure vital points on the road.
ODDS ANALYSIS
The average odds for this match favor Newcastle United with a 1.53 chance of winning, translating to a 65.4% probability. The odds for a draw stand at 3.92, indicating a 25.5% chance, while Athletic Bilbao's odds of 5.56 suggest a 18% probability of an away victory. Based on these odds, Newcastle is the clear favorite, but Bilbao's potential to cause an upset cannot be underestimated.
TEAM ANALYSIS
Newcastle United
- Current Form: Newcastle has been impressive this season, averaging 2.67 goals per match and maintaining a solid defensive record with only 0.67 goals conceded per game.
- Strengths: High goal-scoring ability, strong home performance, and effective dribbling with 18.67 successful dribbles per match.
- Weaknesses: Possession is slightly lower at 47.67%, which could be exploited by a possession-dominant team.
Athletic Bilbao
- Current Form: Bilbao has shown resilience, averaging 1.33 goals per match but conceding 2.33 goals, indicating defensive vulnerabilities.
- Strengths: Strong in duels with 97.33 successful duels per match and effective long passing.
- Weaknesses: Defensive frailties with a high number of goals conceded and lower offensive output compared to Newcastle.
Head-to-Head
Historically, these teams have not faced each other frequently, making this match an intriguing tactical battle.
KEY PLAYERS SPOTLIGHT
Newcastle United
- Anthony Gordon: Leading scorer with 4 goals, crucial in Newcastle's attacking setup.
- Harvey Barnes: Contributing with 3 goals, adds depth to the forward line.
Athletic Bilbao
- Gorka Guruzeta: Key player with 3 goals, pivotal in Bilbao's attack.
- Robert Navarro: Adds creativity and has scored 1 goal this season.
STATISTICAL DEEP DIVE
- Offensive Metrics: Newcastle averages 13.67 shots per game with 7.33 on target, while Bilbao averages 12.33 shots with 3.33 on target.
- Defensive Metrics: Newcastle's defense is more robust, conceding only 0.67 goals per game compared to Bilbao's 2.33.
- Possession and Passing: Bilbao holds a slight edge in possession at 49.33% and successful passes, which could be crucial in controlling the game's tempo.
PREDICTION AND CONCLUSION
Newcastle United is expected to leverage their home advantage and superior attacking form to secure a victory. Key factors include their high goal-scoring rate and solid defense. Athletic Bilbao will need to tighten their defense and capitalize on counter-attacks to challenge Newcastle.
Final Score Prediction: Newcastle United 3-1 Athletic Bilbao Half Time Score Prediction: Newcastle United 1-0 Athletic Bilbao Both Teams to Score Probability: 60% Over 2.5 Goals Probability: 70%
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